Monthly Archives: February 2018

Time posted: 6:59 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. The final day of a record-setting wet February is sending the month out on, what else, a very wet note. Rounds of showers continue to press across the region, with heavier rains moving into the southern half of the state tonight and early Thursday.

That continues to bring a flood threat to this part of the state:

Areas in the flood watch can pick up another 1″-2″ through Thursday, leading to the potential for, at least, local high water issues to develop.

The rain will wrap up quickly from west to east as low pressure passes by to our north and east. As it does so, winds will become very gusty and some gusts could reach 40mph a times. Temps will also crash, with the potential for a few flakes to fly in the east by Thursday night.

This sets us up for a breezy and seasonal weekend. Skies will be sunny from Friday through Sunday, with temps slowly moderating. Highs Friday and Saturday will be 50-ish, with temps deeper into the 50s for Sunday.

Another cold front then works in here on Monday, bringing more showers and rumbles of thunder. That opens the gates to more of a winter looking setup next week…

That look as much colder than normal temps moving in for several days in a row…

Blah, Blah Blah.

Make it a great evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:44 am

Tracking Another High Water Threat

Good Wednesday, everyone. Rounds of showers and a few thunderstorms are back in the bluegrass state, leading to the threat for more high water. It’s a potent storm system that will also bring gusty winds and the potential for some wraparound flurries as March gets underway on Thursday.

Today’s rain may be locally heavy at times, but I don’t expect it to be all day. You should have several breaks, especially in the north.The heaviest will fall across the south and southeast through Thursday. Some thunderstorms try to enter the mix tonight and early Thursday. My overall rain numbers haven’t changed…

This is likely to become a fairly significant flood event across Tennessee.

As the rain starts to wrap up Thursday afternoon, the winds really begin to crank. Gusts of 40mph will be noted by Thursday afternoon and evening. Those high winds may combine with a wet ground to help uproot a few trees.

Much colder air then comes in by Thursday night, with the potential for a few flurries or snow showers across the east…

That action quickly leaves us on Friday with temps in the upper 40s and low 50s. The weekend looks REALLY good with sunshine and mild conditions.

Another front then makes a run at us on Monday, ushering in a colder pattern for early March…

Let’s get back to tracking the weather on this final day of February. I have you all set to track the flood potential…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a wonderful Wednesday and take care.

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Time posted: 7:31 pm

Flood Watch For Parts Of Kentucky

Good evening, everyone. Here we go again… Another round of heavy rain is rolling toward the bluegrass state. This will bring a renewed threat for flooding across the region, especially across the southern half of Kentucky.

That’s where we find a Flood Watch for Wednesday and Thursday…

This is a general 1″-2″ of rain across the state, but amounts of 2″+ showing up across the south and southeast. That’s where the flood threat will be the greatest.

You know the drill, keep a close eye on the water levels and be prepared to move to higher ground.

This is a potent storm system wrapping up across the Ohio Valley and could end with some snow showers and flurries flying. Check out the wraparound on the NAM by Thursday night…

The Hi Res NAM shows an even better chance for some wraparound snow showers Thursday night…

Unfortunately, I don’t think this will be our last brush with winter before we can get into true spring.

Enjoy the rest of your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:23 pm

Tuesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. I’m dropping by for a quick update on the flooding threat coming back into the region for Wednesday and Thursday.

My ideas on the evolution of this setup have not changed, with a general 1″-2″ rainfall for many, and more in the south…

I like what the NAM and Hi Res NAM are doing with the rain numbers…

The Canadian is similar, showing the highest totals in the south…

As was the case for much of last week, the GFS continues to suffer from feedback issues. That impacts the placement of the highest totals. On this run, that action is likely WAY too far south…

When the GFS is all alone, that’s never a good sign.

I would hope we get flood watches soon for much of our region…

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. Another update comes your way this evening.

Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:20 am

High Water Threat Wednesday and Thursday

Good Tuesday, everyone. We have a really, really nice weather day on tap across our part of the world, but all eyes are on another big rain maker rolling in. This arrives Wednesday and will bring another heavy rain and flood threat to much of Kentucky.

Highs out there today reach the 60s with clouds thickening up during the afternoon and evening. This is ahead of another potent system working into the Ohio Valley for Wednesday and Thursday. This puts the bluegrass state back into a zone of heavy rain…

Here’s a look at my current thoughts on rainfall…

I would imagine flood watches will be issued soon for much of the region…

In addition to the heavy rain threat, winds are going to become a big player on Thursday. That’s when our low pressure deepens and works to our northeast, potentially giving us gusts of 40mph or greater…

Given the wet ground, those winds could cause easily uproot a few trees.

Colder winds blow into early Friday, with an outside shot of a few flakes in the eastern Mountains. That leads us into a VERY nice weekend as temps turn milder and we hang on to dry weather.

Winter weather tries to show up in the pattern after that…

I will have updates later. Make it a good one and take care.

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