Daily Archives: February 1, 2018

Time posted: 7:34 pm

Tracking A Wet Snowfall

Good evening, folks. Wet snow continues to push across Kentucky this evening with accumulations ranging  from coatings to a few inches. As temps continue to drop, road conditions will go downhill quickly by late evening into the overnight.

I really don’t have much to add to the current setup, but I do want to emphasis the flash freeze potential. We are likely to ice things up pretty good tonight with temps dropping into the teens. Travel will worsen throughout the evening, and likely even after the snow stops.

Wind chills will also be way down there tonight, with some single digit wind chills showing up.

Let’s track our snowy evening…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

Winchester

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

Bardstown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Maysville

Mountain Parkway near Slade

I-75 at MP 23
Corbin

Jenkins

Pine Mountain

Enjoy the wet snow and take care.

34 Comments

Time posted: 11:19 am

Updating The Snow Forecast

Happy Thursday, folks. February is off and running with a cold front working across the state. Rain develops along the front, then quickly changes to wet snow from northwest to southeast this afternoon and evening.

With a quicker changeover and a slightly slower moving system, I’ve made some adjustments to the snow potential…

The exact timing of the switch in any one location will play a huge roll in how much falls, and that’s why I’ve put the coating as the baseline. Still, it may snow hard enough to overcome the wet ground, leading to a slushy snowfall for many.

The models continue to show higher totals than my forecast…

NAM

HI RES NAM

GFS

The weekend system looks a little more organized on the morning runs, leading to a better snow chance late Saturday into Sunday.

I leave you with your tracking tools for the day……

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

Winchester

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

Bardstown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Maysville

Mountain Parkway near Slade

I-75 at MP 23
Corbin

Jenkins

Pine Mountain

I will have the very latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and will have another update this evening. Make it a good one and take care.

40 Comments

Time posted: 1:53 am

Tracking The Snow Threats

Good Thursday, everyone. We have a very active winter weather setup ahead of us, and things get started out there today. A cold front will bring rain and a quick change to wet snow from northwest to southeast, then another snow and mix system moves in this weekend.

Before we get to the snow, we have to go through some rain. That develops on top of the region early today…

Cold air crashes in from northwest to southeast, leading to a rapid switch to wet snow. It’s likely to snow hard for a few hours, with big fat flakes coming down. Those flakes will have to overcome a wet ground, which will lead to some melting, but we should see sloppy accumulations taking place.

Here’s the latest thinking on that…

My worry is it snows faster than it can melt, leading to some higher end totals for parts of the region, especially the south and southeast. Several of the latest computer forecasts are hinting at this…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

GFS

Travel conditions will go downhill quickly this evening as temps drop below freezing. Readings hit the teens by Friday morning, with a flash freeze a possibility.

The weekend system is a little more convoluted looking on the latest model runs. We are seeing the current runs a little out of synch with a system in the northern branch of the jet, and another in the southern branch. These appear to be fighting it out instead of working together.

This is giving us more of a snow, rain, snow look from late Saturday through Sunday…

Canadian

GFS

Even in this back and forth scenario, several inches of snow can fall across parts of Kentucky. I want to see if today’s runs cut out the dueling systems, before possibly upgrading.

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

37 Comments