Daily Archives: February 15, 2018

Time posted: 7:36 pm

Thursday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. It’s a windy and mild one out there as we get ready for more heavy rain to work across the region. This comes as a cold front drops in from the north and slows down over the next few days.

We’re watching for a line of showers and storms to develop to our north and drop into the region later this evening into the overnight hours. Some strong storms are possible with this line, especially in the north. Gusty winds and hail are the primary players. These storms will also be proficient rain producers and that may cause some local flooding issues to develop.

Here’s the area to watch…

Track away…

The next round of rain moves in on Saturday, with the best chance for local high water issues in the southeast…

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:11 pm

Strong Storms Possible Tonight

Good afternoon, everyone. It’s a spring-like afternoon across Kentucky, with temperatures hitting 70 degrees or a little better. With the spring temps, comes the potential for thunderstorms, and a few could be strong. This kicks off a very wet next few days that can bring a renewed high water threat.

Scattered showers and storms will be noted in many areas this afternoon and evening, but we are watching for a line of storms to develop to our north. That line drops in, bringing the potential for high winds and some hail. The SPC has the low-end severe storms outlook…

Heavy rains will that line of storms may cause some high water issues before the line transitions into a shield of moderate to heavy rain as it keeps moving through.

The front bringing the rains will slow down, allowing another low to develop along it. That moves in on Saturday, with a renewed round of heavy rain. This may target some of the same areas of the south and east, hard hit by recent flooding.

The Canadian has some 2″+ amounts in the southeast through Saturday…

The NAM is also showing some 2″+ rains, but centered more along Interstate 64…

Given the wet ground and swollen waterways, I would think this requires a flood watch for much of central and eastern Kentucky.

Rounds of showers and storms then target the region for much of next week, but we need to focus on the systems rolling in for the next few days. Let’s do just that with your tracking tools…

I will update the threats on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm, with another KWC update later this evening.

Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:36 am

Very Active Pattern Continues

Good Thursday to one and all. It’s a VERY mild and windy day taking shape, but the wet weather continues to be the main focus as we roll forward. Waves of rain and thunderstorms are lined up and will roll our way through next week, potentially leading to flooding issues. There’s also a touch of winter thrown in there for the weekend.

Temps out there today will be in the 65-70 degree range for many, with some low 70s in the south. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will also be noted, with the main focus across the north. Track away…

A cold front then drops in here tonight and Friday, bringing widespread rain and a big temperature crash. Local high water issues may develop during this time…

We will need to watch northern and northeastern Kentucky for the local high water threat on Friday. There’s also the chance for a bit of a rain/snow mix showing up during the afternoon.

That same front then slows down, letting another wave of low pressure to develop and move our way on Saturday. That should bring a renewed threat for heavy rain our way, especially in the south and east…

Those are areas still cleaning up from recent flooding, so we will need to really be on guard for the high water possibilities.

There could also be a swath of slushy snow showing up across areas of the north and northeast, but I’m not overly impressed with that.

Sunday looks much better with only a small chance for a shower. Highs will be near 50.

The setup early next week will then feature waves of showers and thunderstorms rolling across our region from southwest to northeast. This is a very worrisome setup and could lead to significant flooding issues in our part of the world…

Rainfall numbers through next week continue to be very aggressive on the models…

GFS

Canadian

I will update things later today, so check back. Have a good Thursday and take care.

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