Daily Archives: February 18, 2018

Time posted: 2:15 pm

Sunday Afternoon Thoughts

Good afternoon, everyone. We are wrapping up the weekend on a very nice note out there with sun shine and temps heading into the 50s. The temperature trend for the next few days could be record setting, with a surge of April temps. Then, the rains set in.

Warmer moves in from the south tonight and will be accompanied by a few showers and thunderstorms. Once the warm front lifts to our north, temps take off with upper 60s and low 70s for highs on Monday. Winds will also crank during this time.

Tuesday is when record and all time February record highs may be challenged. Highs can hit 80 degrees in much of the state, as southwesterly winds continue to blow. Wow.

Showers and storms then increase from west to east Tuesday night through Thursday…

Those could be some very slow-movers, delivering several inches of rain on their own. The flood risk will ramp up during this time.

Additional waves of showers and storms will continue to target the region from late week into next weekend…

All modes of flooding are possible from Wednesday through next weekend. River flooding may continue to be an issue, and could turn into a much bigger issue.

The rounds of showers and storms may persist into the following week, which would not be a good thing.

What we are dealing with is a false start to spring, and I worry about the March pattern throwing more winter weather our way. Severe blocking is being forecast to develop, leading to a cold pattern trying to envelope much of the nation. This is even showing up on the Ensembles for early March…

No thanks. #teamspring

Enjoy the rest of your Saturday and take care.


Time posted: 2:35 am

A Spring Pattern Brings A Flood Threat

Good Sunday, everyone. We have been in a very wet pattern for the past week and change and this soggy setup shows no signs of letting up. As a matter of fact, as thunderstorms join the mix, the flood threat actually increases for the week ahead and beyond.

Our Sunday looks mainly dry with a mix of sun and clouds and temps on the increase. Highs will be near 50 in the far north, to around 60 in the far south and west.

Clouds increase quickly tonight, with some showers and thunderstorms rumbling through…

Temps rise all night long as a strong southwesterly wind kicks in. Highs on Monday make a run at 70 degrees and hit deep into the upper 70s and low 80s on Tuesday. Record highs and all time February record highs are a possibility. #teamspring

In recent weeks, I’ve been hitting the flood setup VERY hard, trying to get everyone aware of this super soaker of a setup. I put this map out more than a week ago…

My updated version of that keeps Kentucky in the bullseye, but expands that southwest into the lower Mississippi River Valley…

Waves of showers and thunderstorms will target Kentucky during this time, especially during the second half of next week. This can lead to all modes of flooding in our region. Our rivers are going to be especially vulnerable to flooding as we go through the next few weeks and into the spring.

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.