Daily Archives: February 26, 2018

Time posted: 7:40 pm

Monday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. We are putting the wraps on a very nice weather day and we are going to get one more nice one. Then…. The heavy rains move back in, bringing a renewed threat for flooding.

My thoughts on the Wednesday-Thursday rains remain the same, with a general 1″-2″ for many, with locally higher amounts across southern Kentucky. The European Model shows this well…

All of this comes to an end early Friday, with a touch of a rain/snow mix in the east. The weekend looks nice, with temps on the increase. That temp increase does not last long as a DEEP trough develops across the eastern half of the country next week…

Old Man Winter will likely throw a few more shots at us before true spring can set in.

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:25 pm

Another Heavy Rain Maker Ahead

Good afternoon, everyone. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the next round of heavy rain moving our way. This arrives on the final day of February and continues into the first day of March, and may will likely cause renewed high water concerns.

Wednesday into Thursday should feature a general 1″-2″ of rain, with locally higher amounts. The models are showing the usual spread from a few days out, but I think the NAM is trending closer to reality than the GFS.

Here’s the NAM rainfall…

The GFS is too far south with that big slug of rain…

The Canadian Model backs up the NAM, with greater than 2″ rains falling across the southern half of the state…

We need to watch the heaviest band of rain to shift north in future runs. Obviously, that would be make a bad situation even worse.

Moral of the weather story: Flooding rains are possible again on Wednesday and Thursday.

Flooding is already ongoing in many areas, especially along the Ohio River. Here’s an update on the current warnings and the mighty Ohio…

Ohio River at McAlpine Upper

Ohio River at Owensboro

Ohio River at Golconda

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. Another update on KWC comes your way this evening. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:12 am

Watching A Mid-Week Rain Maker

Good Monday, everyone. February is quickly running out of days, but not before the month throws one more big rain maker at us. A storm system rolling our way by Wednesday and Thursday will bring a renewed heavy rain and high water threat to parts of Kentucky.

Many areas are still dealing with flooding issues, especially near rivers such as the Ohio…

Today is a dry one with temps mainly in the 50s with a mix of sun and clouds. Tuesday looks even better with highs hitting the low 60s for most of Kentucky. Clouds will quickly thicken up by the end of the day, as a strong southwesterly wind kicks in.

That’s ahead of another potent storm system moving in here for the final day of February on Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms will increase with this and take us into Thursday. The NAM only goes through Thursday morning, but is showing a potent low wrapping up…

The GFS is similar in wrapping up this system as it moves eastward across the Ohio Valley, turning into a big east coast storm…

Notice the shot of cold wrapping in behind that, giving us the chance for a few flakes. The Canadian has a better flake chance…

This big news with this system is the renewed potential for flooding and flash flooding. Many areas can pick up a general 1″-2″ rainfall Wednesday and Thursday. Winds will also become a BIG player with this storm as it rolls across the Ohio Valley as March roars in.

After a big mild up over the weekend, another cold front works in here early next week and is bringing some true wintertime cold with it…

Don’t be surprised to see this pattern throw some snows our way before all is said and done. The active storm track is a little concerning.

Me and the rest of #teamspring are not liking the way March is trending. 🙁

I will have another update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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