Daily Archives: March 4, 2018

Time posted: 1:57 pm

Sunday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the big pattern change coming for the week ahead. It’s a setup that will bring winter weather back into our region, and much of the eastern half of the country.

My overall thoughts have not changed on how things shake out in the coming days. Here’s a breakdown:

  • Winds will be gusty on Monday as showers increase from west to east later in the day. That action is ahead of a potent cold front.
  • A big upper level system drops into our region later Tuesday and hangs tough through Friday. That will have a lot of cold air and instability with it, especially as another low pops just to our east.
  • Rain and snow showers/squalls will develop by Tuesday night and carry us through Friday morning.
  • With so much instability, some thundersnow is possible.
  • Some coatings will be possible in heavier snow showers, mainly in the mountains.

You can see this whole scenario playing out on the GFS…

Slow your roll on looking at numbers… much of anything that falls will be melting. Just use that as guidance on the areas seeing the best chance for snow showers and flurries. 😉

The setup for next weekend into early the following week continues to be one to watch. The stage is set for a much bigger storm to develop around our region and into the east. Here’s the GFS..

The European Model also has a healthy storm…

I will have a full update late tonight. Until then, enjoy the rest of your Sunday and take care.


Time posted: 1:56 am

Winter Weather For The Week Ahead

Good Sunday, folks. Was it strange only getting one update from me yesterday? Don’t answer that, it’s rhetorical. 🙂  We are wrapping up a very nice weekend across the Commonwealth of Kentucky, but the focus is on some ugly for the week ahead. Old Man Winter isn’t through with us just yet.

Let’s begin with the positive before going all negative. Highs today reach the low and mid 50s in the east, to low 60s across the west. Skies stay mostly sunny, but clouds will filter into western parts of the state by evening.

Those clouds are ahead of a massive change moving in for the week ahead. Showers and some thunder arrive from west to east on Monday, as a cold front moves in. That front is being pushed by a storm system cut off from the main flow. Instead of our low lifting northward into Canada, it’s forced southeast into our part of the world.

It’s also accompanied by some pretty darn cold air, leading to the potential for some snow by mid week as a deep trough digs in…

With a strongly negative NAO in place, but forecast to majorly relax by next weekend…

I start looking for a big storm threat somewhere in the eastern half of the country. One thing I’ve noticed through the years is how big winter storms like to come at the end of strongly negative blocking period.

Low and behold, we find the models going crazy next weekend into early the following week. The GFS…

The Canadian is off the charts…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.