Daily Archives: March 6, 2018

Time posted: 7:34 pm

Tracking The Return Of Winter

Good evening, folks. Old Man Winter continues to barrel toward the bluegrass state, with crashing temps and snow showers developing later tonight. This takes us into a setup that provides us with several snow chances over the next week.

The big upper level system is diving into the state from the northwest, bringing gusty winds and a band of showers ahead of it. As that initial band moves through, temps crash as snow showers and squalls develop…

The snow showers and squalls arriving later tonight and lasting through the next few days have been well advertised here, so there’s no reason to rehash it all.

The system later Friday is showing up well on the European Model. It’s show my swath of light snow…

It’s also showing the Sunday system, but keeps the main impact across southern Kentucky…

Again, we need to be on guard for more of a phased system. If that happens, it ups the ante for a bigger storm around here. That’s what the GFS keeps showing…

Looking farther down the road, the cold shots keep coming at us on the GFS Ensembles…

That’s disheartening. We have a while before we can get to true spring.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:08 pm

Tuesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everybody. Winds are cranking out there today, ahead of a major pattern change rolling into town tonight. This change means winter weather is coming back, complete with cold temps and snow chances.

I don’t have much to add to the snow shower and snow squalls developing tonight and lasting through Thursday. Local, light accumulations will be possible, especially across the mountains in the east and southeast. Snow showers and squalls are “streaky” by nature, missing some, while hitting others pretty hard. You can really see that on the Hi Res NAM snowfall map…

Now, the model isn’t going to nail the exact track of the snow showers, but you get the idea. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a delay or cancellation showing up.

Wind chills will hit the teens at times through Friday morning. Highs will generally run in the 30s.

The weekend setup continues to be interesting, with two systems possibly impacting our weather. With so much on the table, the models are struggling on which system to key on, and where to put them.

The GFS is wimpy with the Friday system (which I don’t agree with), but is stronger, albeit out of synch, with the late weekend system…

The Canadian Model is much stronger with the Friday system and tries to make it the main focus of the weekend…

I think the truth lies in between those two. The Friday system can put down a swath of accumulating snows in our region, with the Sunday storm walking a fine line in terms of how much phasing we can get.

Regardless, we have several winter weather threats to track over the next week.

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm, with another blog update this evening. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:39 am

Gusty Winds Usher In A Winter Setup

Good Tuesday, everyone. After one amazing run of warm temps, Old Man Winter is about ready to flex a little March muscle in the coming days. It’s a cold pattern taking shape and it will bring several snow chances to the bluegrass state.

Let’s start with today and look ahead. Morning showers may still be going across the east, but will quickly work out of the state…

Better weather quickly blows in here with some sunshine and 50s. Winds will be gusty and could reach 40mph or greater through the afternoon. This comes ahead of a HUGE upper level low to dive in here from the northwest. This is one deep system settling in for the next few days…

Underneath that system comes a lot of cold air and rounds of snow showers…

Light accumulations are possible, especially in the mountains of eastern Kentucky…

Temps are much colder than normal, and with gusty winds, wind chills may drop into the teens at times over the next several mornings.

Ouch.

Another rain and snow maker then works in here late Friday into Friday night…

A swath of accumulating snow may occur on the northern edge of that system.

After a break on Saturday, another system moves our way on Sunday. The models go back and forth on just how strong this thing can get. We are walking a fine line between a fully phased storm and one that misses the connection. The new GFS brings one heck of a storm our way…

The European Model is now way south and east…

Go Euro! 😉

I will have updates later today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.

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