Daily Archives: March 9, 2018

Time posted: 7:32 pm

Tracking A Slushy Snowfall

Good evening, everyone. Rain and snow continue to develop across the area, with the potential for a narrow swath of heavy wet snow to set up. I really have no changes to my thoughts from earlier in the day.

The Winter Weather Advisory has been expanded to include the Louisville metro…

I have no changes to my earlier thoughts and call for snowfall…

Again, those bands are pretty loose, with some north/south wiggle room. Pay close attention to the headlines on the bottom left of the map. 😉

It is interesting to note how the late day GFS went way up with totals…

The GFS is also stronger and farther north with the Sunday system…

The European Model was also farther north than earlier runs of the model…

Let’s see if the infamous northwest trend from years past comes into play later tonight and Saturday.

In the short-term, I have you all set to track the action developing later this evening…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127
US60 @ US127

US 60 @ Chenault Road
Near Millville
US60 @ Chenault Road



Mountain Parkway near Slade

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead


I-75 at MP 23


Pine Mountain

Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

Have a great evening and take care.


Time posted: 12:00 pm

Winter Weather Advisory Tonight

Good afternoon, everyone. Winter weather is moving back into the region tonight, bringing the potential for a slushy snowfall to parts of the region. This kicks off a weekend where we will also be on guard for another potential winter weather maker on Sunday.

Let’s take the first system and concentrate on it out of the gate. Rain develops by early evening, with a band of wet snow developing along the northern and eastern edge of this. A narrow corridor of heavy wet snow will show up, but the exact placement of this is still tough to hone in on.

Here’s my call for snowfall…

You will notice I’ve added some notes to the snow map. I’m going to start doing this will all future snow maps to avoid confusion.

Not everyone in the forecast areas will actually reach the totals, and a few may exceed them.

A Winter Weather Advisory is out for much of central and eastern Kentucky…

The NAM continues to be at the high end of the snow forecast…

The Hi Res isn’t too far behind…

The GFS is similar, but has  MUCH more narrow snow band…

With all of the above maps, you can clearly see the sharp cutoff on the northern and southern edges of this thing.

Whomever gets the snow will be dealing with a very wet snow which can cover roads for a time. This action will quickly move away early Saturday, with a lot of melting ensuing.

Our next system on Sunday is not being handled well by the models. The new GFS is more spread out with the system…

The Canadian Model came north and is stronger than earlier runs…

The Hi Res NAM only goes out far enough to capture the early stages of this system, but it’s pretty far north with the low into southeastern Kentucky…

My concern is, all of a sudden on Saturday, we see the models show converge on a stronger system into southeastern Kentucky.

The south option is very much on the table, but the north option has better odds at the moment. Stay tuned!

I will update things again later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.


Time posted: 1:28 am

Watching A Late Day Winter Weather Maker

Good Friday, folks. We are putting the wraps on a rather wintry week by tracking another round of some winter weather. A system will bring light rain and light snow to parts of the state later today into Tonight. I’m also keeping a close eye on a possible system arriving on Sunday.

Let’s start with today’s system. Clouds will quickly increase with temps hitting the 40s before precipitation develops. A swath of light rain and light snow will get going this evening. A band of slushy accumulation may set up across parts of central and eastern Kentucky through early Saturday morning.

Here’s the updated odds on where that could happen…

A few inches are possible in a pretty narrow corridor setting up. It may be a game time decision in pinpointing where that happens.

Rain and snow moves away early Saturday, leaving us with a mix of sun and clouds. Temps hit the mid and upper 40s.

We continue see a spit in what happens with the Sunday system. The GFS is showing one low moving to Pikeville before “jumping” east of the mountains. This particular model run brings a wind driven snowstorm to parts of central and eastern Kentucky…

Is that scenario possible? Yes, but so is the scenario where the entire system stays too far south to do much around here. The NAM is saying that and so is the Canadian…

There could be one more little clipper diving in here by Tuesday or Wednesday, bringing the potential for another round of light snow.

Temps by the end of next week will likely rebound to normal or above normal for several days, but that may not hold very long. The new look from the seasonal models is for temps to average colder than normal from now through April 22nd…



My thoughts go like this…

I will hook you up with updates later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.