Daily Archives: March 21, 2018

Time posted: 7:30 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. Snow continues to SLOWLY wind down across central and eastern Kentucky, with a frigid night settling in behind it. As this happens, we will quickly turn our attention toward another possible winter storm impacting the region on Saturday.

Before we get to that, let’s track what’s left of the current winter storm…

Lows tonight drop deep into the upper teens and low 20s in many areas, with gusty winds making it feel a lot colder. The rest of Thursday looks good with plenty of sunshine and temps hitting the 40s across the central and east. 60 is possible in the far west.

Clouds increase on Friday, ahead of a potent system diving in from the northwest. This has a MEGA temp gradient to work with and that means it will produce a ton of precipitation. We’re likely to see a swath of VERY heavy snow setting up near or on top of northern and northeastern Kentucky.

The European Model has a crusher…

It is backed up by the average of the 51 member European Ensembles…

The GFS is basically in lock step with the European Model…

The GFS Ensembles show the same track for heavy snow…

A few thoughts:

  • First and foremost, those are computer forecast models and not a forecast from me.
  • Any deviation in the track of the low may push that heavy snow band farther north or farther south.
  • Areas of northern and northeastern Kentucky need to pay very close attention to upcoming forecasts. That much snow could cause big issues.
  • Temps on Saturday may reach the low 70s in far west, and stay in the 30s for much of central and eastern Kentucky.
  • Outside the areas getting in on the POTENTIAL for snow, heavy rains will be noted. A general 1″-2″ of rain is possible.
  • Thunderstorms are possible in the west.

Just… Wow.

An upgrade to a Winter Storm Threat is very likely tonight.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

3 Comments

Time posted: 12:25 pm

Watching A Weekend Storm

Good afternoon, everyone. Snow continues across the region, but the action slowly winds down through the rest of the day. This latest winter storm is leaving behind several slushy inches of the white stuff, as our March of discontent rolls on.

The Louisville metro took the brunt of the snow, with some local amounts reaching double digits. I’m glad I added the “locally higher” line to the 4″-8″ forecast for that region. 🙂  Additional light accumulations are possible for the rest of the day across the entire region. Here’s a look at the current advisories…

Let’s start to focus more on a Saturday storm system rolling our way. This is will likely be a big deal and I’m likely to upgrade to a Winter Storm THREAT later today, for parts of the state.

The storm moving in will have a MEGA temperature gradient to work with. Look at the afternoon temps on Saturday…

That’s more than a 40 degree difference from western Kentucky into northern parts of the state. Just… Wow! Heavy rain, heavy snow and thunderstorms develop as a potent low rides that boundary…

The models continue to point toward northern and northeastern Kentucky for the potential of a significant snowstorm Saturday and Saturday night. The GFS isn’t shy with the snow…

That band could set up farther north or farther south, depending on where the temperature gradient settles in. Regardless, somewhere in our region is likely to get smacked. Does that include Kentucky? The odds are pretty high as of now, but that’s not set in stone.

Check out all the precipitation with that same system…

I will update this system on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. I will also update the blog later this evening. Until then, here are your current tracking tools…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

US 60 @ Chenault Road
Near Millville
US60 @ Chenault Road

Winchester

Georgetown

Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at 12th St.
Covington
I-71/I-75 @ 12th St. in Covington

Bardstown

I-65 MP 92.4
Elizabethtown

Louie B Nunn MP 3
Near Glasgow
Louie B Nunn MP 3

Natcher Parkway MP 5
Near Bowling Green
Natcher Parkway @ MP 5

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62

Paducah

I-24 MP 7 @ US62

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Maysville

Jenkins

Pine Mountain

Enjoy your day and take care.

19 Comments

Time posted: 1:41 am

Tracking A Spring/Winter Storm

Good Wednesday, everyone. It’s the first full day of Spring, but Old Man Winter continues to flex a little muscle across the region. A Winter storm continues to cover much of the bluegrass in a slushy blanket of white and I have all the tracking tools your spring snow loving hearts can handle.

Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories are out for much of the region to start the day…

Slick roads will be likely this morning, leading to a lot of cancellations and delays. The snow will slowly wind down from west to east today, with VERY cold temps continuing. Lows may drop into the upper teens by Thursday morning. Your tracking tools in a bit.

Thursday afternoon looks good with highs hitting the 40s, which is still well below normal. Friday is mainly dry, but a weak system dives in early on and may have a light band of precipitation along it. The afternoon turns out to be in decent shape.

That brings us to the weekend and another storm system moving in. This system dives in from northwest to southeast, focusing on a MEGA temperature gradient setting up on Saturday…

Thunderstorms and snow show up across the state, at the same time…

A stout band of heavy snow is going to show up on the northern edge of the precipitation shield and that MAY impact parts of Kentucky. Several models are showing this…

Depending on where that temp gradient sets up, that band could shift farther north or south. Sigh. I will touch more on that later today, so check back.

In the meantime, here are your spring snow trackers…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

Fifth Third Pavilion Live Cam
Downtown Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

I-75 @ Clays Ferry Bridge South
Between Lexington and Richmond

US 60 @ US 127
Frankfort
US60 @ US127

US 60 @ Chenault Road
Near Millville
US60 @ Chenault Road

Winchester

Georgetown

Louisville
Downtown Louisville @ 2nd & Broadway

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-275 approaching KY 20/Airport
Near Covington
I-275 East of KY 20/Airport Exit

I-71/I-75 at Buttermilk Pike
Near Covington
I-71/I-75 @ Buttermilk Pike

I-71/I-75 at 12th St.
Covington
I-71/I-75 @ 12th St. in Covington

Bardstown

I-65 MP 92.4
Elizabethtown

Louie B Nunn MP 3
Near Glasgow
Louie B Nunn MP 3

Natcher Parkway MP 5
Near Bowling Green
Natcher Parkway @ MP 5

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62

Paducah

I-24 MP 7 @ US62

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

Maysville

Jenkins

Pine Mountain

Safe travels and take care.

28 Comments