Daily Archives: March 26, 2018

Time posted: 7:29 pm

Monday Evening Update

Good evening, gang. Our milder week is off and running, but things are about to turn very wet… Again. Rounds of showers and storms may cause some local high water issues this week, before Old Man Winter decides to crash your early April party.

A few showers and storms are moving into the region right now, so let’s track them…

Temps over the next few days are mainly in the 60s, but showers and storms will really increase. This comes from a stout moisture supply from the southwest. From there, we watch a more potent setup coming our way for the end of the week into the start of Easter Weekend. The high water threat is going to increase in the coming days, with the potential of 3″+ rains showing up across the state through Friday…

What about Easter Sunday? I’ve said we are walking a tight rope between systems, but some of the latest guidance suggests the potential for a shower or storm going up…

Once that goes through, another system takes aim at us by early Next week. The Canadian has a full blown winter look…

The European Model isn’t quite as robust, but isn’t too far away…

This one is being pushed by, what amounts to, an arctic outbreak entering the country.Temps behind this will be WAY down there.

There’s nothing pretty about this pattern over the next 2-3 weeks, at least. I’m blaming the #teamspring hashtag. This crap started when I started using it, so let’s reverse the jinx with #teamwinter. 🙂

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:36 am

Milder Before Wilder

Good Monday, everyone. We are dealing with a much, MUCH milder week out there across the fine state of Kentucky. This mild weather doesn’t mean spring is settling in for the long haul just yet. A major blast of spring cold is on the way for the first week of April. Sigh.

Highs today are deep into the 50s for most of the region, with only an isolated shower or storm going up…

Temps for the rest of the week are generally in the 60s, but I can’t rule out a 70 for areas getting a day or sun. That may be difficult to find, with an increase in showers and thunderstorms ahead. This action starts to show itself more on Tuesday, then kicks into a higher gear for Wednesday. The NAM is spitting out some VERY heavy rainfall totals through Wednesday night…

The setup for later this week into the start of the Easter Weekend will throw a healthy storm system at us. That may bring a local flood and severe weather threat before a quick hitting shot of cold…

The rest of Easter Weekend is walking the tight rope between systems. The next one may arrive just after Easter Sunday, allowing for a decent day. Again, that’s not a certainty at this point. Whenever it arrives, the next system may take us from thunderstorms to very cold…

The further illustrate the potential for extreme early April cold, we turn to the GFS Ensembles. Here are the temperature departures into the early days of the month…

How about the start of the second week of the month? Here ya go…

From two weeks out, that’s a strong signal for colder than normal and it’s beyond frustrating. 🙁

Don’t be surprised to see some April flakes flying in this setup. That’s beyond frustrating, that’s just depressing.

Make it a great day and take care.

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