Daily Archives: March 27, 2018

Time posted: 7:29 pm

Updating The Flood Threat

Good evening, everyone. A lot of rain is on the way to the bluegrass state. leading to the potential for flooding and flash flooding. Waves of showers and storms kick in tonight and will carry us through Thursday night, putting down several inches of rain.

My concern for flooding continues to grow as we get closer. The first round of heavy rain and storms will arrive later tonight and early Wednesday, with several other rounds moving in through late Thursday. This will be a widespread 1″-4″, with locally higher amounts…

Earlier, I said Flood Watches should be issued ASAP, and they should have been. Unfortunately, only the NWS out of Charleston, WV is on the same page as this. They’re the only office to issue a watch…

Kudos for Charleston for doing what’s right and getting the word out on the potential for flooding. As far as the other offices, I have no idea what they are looking at or waiting on.

If we look at the NAM Rainfall Forecast for tonight through JUST Wednesday afternoon is more than enough to already have a watch out…

Here’s the same run expanded through Thursday…

The European Model is all in on the flooding threat, with some 5″ totals showing up through Thursday…

All modes of flooding are possible over the next few days. From flash flooding, to river flooding to general flooding… all are on the table.

Looking ahead toward Easter Weekend, a cold front drops in here Saturday night with chilly showers possible to start Easter Sunday…

It’s possible for a few flakes to mix in with what, but the action may clear out of town pretty quickly.

That sets the stage for a colder system showing up on Monday. Several models now bring rain and snow our way, with the European Model showing this…

I’m also watching for another similar system later next week. Ugh

Here are your evening tracking tools…

Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:04 pm

Flood Threat Increases

Good afternoon, everyone. With rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms on the way, I wanted to really hone in on the increasing threat for flooding. Several inches of rain will likely fall on the region from tonight through early Friday, likely causing high water issues.

Here’s the area I’ve outlined for the greatest risk…

Basically, the entire state has a risk for flooding, flash flooding and river flooding over the next few days. A general 1″-3″ rainfall is on the way, with local amounts pushing 4″ or a little more. That shows up well on the models…

NAM

GFS

Given how wet the ground is, and how swollen our waterways already area, flooding is a good bet before the week is over.

I would expect Flood Watches to go up ASAP…

Here are your radars to track the action in from the west…

I will have an update on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm, and will throw you another KWC update this evening.

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:08 am

A Lot Of Ugly Weather Ahead

Good Tuesday, everyone. A very stormy setup is taking place for the rest of the week and it could bring some high water issues before all is said and done. This comes as the pattern threatens to turn more toward winter, again, for the first week of April.

Temps out there today are deep into the 60s with a mix of sun and clouds to go along with scattered showers and storms…

The showers and storms really kick into high gear for Thursday and Friday, as our southwesterly flow ramps up. This is a firehouse of moisture aimed right at the bluegrass state and it can put down some very heavy rains…

Flooding issues may very well develop at some point this week.

The trend for Easter Weekend isn’t a good one, with the models now bringing the cold in much quicker, leading to a couple of ugly systems. The Canadian Model actually has rain and snow with two systems into early next week…

The GFS is even uglier with the Easter setup…

I warned you things could get a little ugly, and the above models are pretty darn ugly for Easter Weekend into early next week. #teamwinter 🙁

I will update things later today, so y’all come back.

Have a great day and take care.

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