Daily Archives: March 30, 2018

Time posted: 12:45 pm

Watching The Late Easter Sunday Snow Threat

Good Friday afternoon, folks. As our current system slowly pulls way from the region, we start to focus on the active Easter Weekend that’s kicking off. It’s a weekend that will bring everything from nice weather, to showers, to rain, and a period of snow. That sounds about right, this spring.

Today’s chilly showers are slowly working away from the north and east…

Saturday is nice and mild during the day, but showers arrive by evening as a cold front drops in. That front will then put the brakes on across the southern half of the state on Easter Sunday. We will get several dry hours during the day, but a wave of low pressure puts a quick end to that later in the day.

That low will bring rain and a swath of snow across the state through Sunday night…

That can drop some light accumulations across the northern half of the state and that ain’t no foolin’. Here’s the latest GFS snow map…

The NAM is now seeing the same thing…

If anything sticks, it’s likely to be on grassy and elevated surfaces.

That system moves away quickly Sunday night and early Monday, with temps surging behind it. We hit the 50s on Monday, with readings that can reach the low 70s by Tuesday. This is ahead of a VERY strong cold front marching into our region Tuesday night. That may bring high winds and a line of strong storms through here…

Temps drop big time behind this front, as cold air floods back in.

The pattern next weekend has a very interesting look to it, with winter air controlling much of the country, and an active jet stream. Don’t be surprised if we are tracking a huge storm system into our part of the world.

I probably won’t be able to post this evening, but will have a full update later tonight.

Make it a good one and take are.

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Time posted: 1:44 am

Easter Weekend Snow Potential?

Good Friday, folks. Our Easter Weekend is off and running, with thoughts of spring dancing in our minds. While we will see some spring days ahead, true spring is still a ways away from getting started. The crazy pattern we have been stuck in for March looks to roll over into April. Blah.

Our Good Friday is starting on a damp note with chilly showers for many areas…

The rain will slowly decrease through the rest of the day. with temps only in the 40s for several spots, with the west doing much better.

Saturday continues to look good until late afternoon into the evening. Temps hit the 60s in the east, with 50s in the north and west, where clouds and showers move in quicker. That action works to the east and southeast into Easter Sunday morning.

The front then puts the brakes on, allowing for a wave of low of low pressure to develop along it and roll eastward. That allows precipitation to develop later in the afternoon and evening. The models are trending colder with this setup and are bringing the potential for a rain/snow mix or a period of light snow across the northern half of the state.

Here’s the GFS snowfall for Sunday night…

The Canadian has a similar look..

Temps will rebound quickly late Monday into Tuesday, ahead of another potent cold front. That ushers in showers and storms and a big temp drop…

For some time, there has been a signal for a potential winter weather maker showing up next weekend. The GFS has shown it, but can’t maintain it. The European Model has been showing it regularly, as has the Canadian…

If you feel like crying… Just go ahead and do it. 🙁 But, you can’t say I haven’t been warning you that winter was going to fight deep into April. 😉

If we take a look at April as a whole, the analogs are for colder than normal temps, and the seasonal models agree. Here’s the CFS for the month as a whole…

That’s pretty unreal to see temps forecast to be THAT far below normal. It’s a setup that is also VERY active and that carries us through early May. The CFS precipitation forecast shows our region taking the brunt of the action…

Ugh. I will update things again later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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