Monthly Archives: April 2018

Time posted: 1:45 am

Frost Before A Warm Derby Week

Good Friday, everyone. Our week is ending on a fairly nice note, but a blast of chill is on the way for the weekend. That will bring another frost threat into town, with even the potential for a light freeze. Hang in there, my friends, a warmer pattern continues to evolve for Kentucky Derby Week.

Temps today are generally in upper 60s and low 70s. Enjoy!!. There is the slightchance for a shower or thunderstorm, but most will stay dry…

This winds will really crank on Saturday, with a push of colder air moving in during the afternoon and evening. This MAY touch off isolated showers in the east, but the big news is the cold air coming in behind this. Lows by Sunday morning head toward the low 30s…

Green Thumbs are on high alert. Highs on Sunday may not make it to 60 across the central and east, even with nearly full sunshine.

This air is cold enough for some flakes to fly as close by as the high ground of the West Virginia Mountains…

Following another frost threat to start Monday, temps rebound quickly and really take off. This comes from a big warm ridge of high pressure across the eastern half of the country…

Temps may hit the 80s across Kentucky, with summer temps just to our south and east…

Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will then fire up by the second half of next week. Will those hang around to impact the Kentucky Oaks and the Kentucky Derby? That depends on just how quickly this front moves east.

I will have another update later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 7:31 pm

Thursday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, folks. For much of the state, it’s been a pretty nice spring day. For southern and southeastern Kentucky, not so much. A southern system is grazing the state with some rain, but the focus going forward is on a weekend shot of chill that can bring frost back into the bluegrass state.

As expected, the evening showers are impacting the areas closest to Tennessee and Virginia. Some of this action sneaks a little farther north into eastern Kentucky later tonight…

Friday’s weather is mainly dry with highs in the 60s, Winds will be gusty, with a slight chance for a shower or storm going up.

This is ahead of a cold front, with a secondary front arriving on Saturday. That one may also spit out a light shower, but it’s unleashing some pretty cold stuff for the end of April…

Check out the well below normal temps showing up through Monday morning…

Temps by Sunday morning can drop below freezing, setting up the potential for a light freeze…

Sunday afternoon looks absolutely gorgeous, but temps will be slow to respond. Highs may not get out of the 50s for parts of central and eastern Kentucky…

That may set us up with another frosty morning on Monday…

Temps will warm into the 70s on Monday, and may push 80 by Tuesday and Wednesday. That’s when a warm southwesterly wind kicks up across our part of the world. Beyond this, things look to become pretty active with showers and storms on the increase as we get closer to Derby weekend…

Strong to severe storms may develop later next week into the big weekend. Following that, temps are likely to go below normal once again.

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:37 am

Tracking A Frost Threat Before The Warm Up

Good Thursday to one and all. Another storm system is taking aim at the bluegrass state today, bringing additional rains for a few. After this goes through, a cold front drops in here on Friday, ushering in another chill in the air for the weekend. We even have an increasing threat for frost.

Today’s system is working across the Tennessee Valley, throwing a few showers into, especially the southern half of the state. That system will then lift northeast across the Appalachian Mountains this evening, bringing the rain a little deeper into eastern Kentucky. Track the drops…

Farther north, you won’t see much, if any, rain today. Temps will be all over the place, with 50s under the rain and mid to upper 60s with the dry weather. A local 70 may show up if you can get enough sun.

Another cold front moves in on Friday, bringing the chance for a shower or storm. Winds will be gusty with highs in the 60s. Much cooler than normal temps arrive behind this front for the weekend. Daytime highs are general in the 60s with very gusty winds. There’s even the chance for a stray shower in the east.

Green thumbs are on high alert for Sunday morning as lows may drop below freezing…

Cool winds on Sunday will keep temps in the upper 50s and low 60s for much of central and eastern Kentucky, with middle 60s west…

Temps finally take off on Monday and that kicks off a warm Kentucky Derby week. Highs may reach 80 on a few occasions by the middle of the week, but it’s not going to last. A cold front may make a run at us by Derby Weekend, with a severe threat ahead of it and cool air behind it. Watch the forecast temperature anomalies…

Shades of 2004 are trying to show up as we inch closer to summer.

I will have another update today, so check back. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 7:37 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. Clouds continue to be rather stubborn across parts of the region, as our temps continue to run below normal. That’s a trend that will carry us through the weekend, with even chillier temps on the way. Beyond that, things get much, much warmer for Kentucky Derby week.

Some of the clouds out there this evening continue to produce come mist or some out and out shower action in the east…

Later tonight, another low pressure zips out of Arkansas into the Tennessee Valley, turning the corner up the Appalachian Mountains. This brings rain back into the region, especially across the south and east…

Some locally heavy rain numbers are showing up across the mountains  of southeastern Kentucky…

As you can see, the farther north, the better in terms of your Thursday weather. Highs will stay in the 50s for areas getting rain, with low 60s outside the drops. Normal highs are now creeping into the low 70s.

Another cold front drops in late Friday, bringing a broken band of showers and thunderstorms. Winds will be rather gusty, with… Wait for it… Wait for it… another shot of chill for the weekend. Watch how the temps continue to run much colder than normal…

As a matter of fact, a frost is likely by Sunday morning. There is even the chance for temps to head below freezing and that’s showing up on the GFS…

Temps hit the 70s by Monday, with the potential for 80 degree highs by Tuesday and Wednesday. This will also likely kick off a pattern conducive for thunderstorms to develop…

Those storms may be something we have to deal with in the lead up to Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby days.

If you’re wondering if this warmer pattern is here to stay… My answer is no. I would not be surprised to see another frost threat into the first half of May. 🙁

Have a great day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:31 am

Unsettled Weather Before A Warm Surge

Good Wednesday, everyone. We are rolling our way toward a MUCH warmer pattern finally settling into our part of the world. Before we can get to that point, we have some more unsettled weather to go through. This means additional rounds of some showers and storms through Friday.

Low clouds will hang around today, with some leftover showers slow to give up…

Temps will range from the upper 50s with clouds to 60-65 for areas seeing some rays of sunshine.

Another system rolls across the Tennessee Valley on Thursday, throwing more clouds and some showers into southern  Kentucky…

Temps will be cooler than normal again, especially in the south.

A cold front drops in on Friday, bringing gusty winds and isolated showers and thunderstorms. This reinforces our colder than normal temps through the weekend…

A kiss of frost possible by Sunday morning as lows dip into the 30s…

This leads us into Kentucky Derby week and a HUGE ridge of high pressure. Temps may make a run at the low 80s for a few days next week…

Thunderstorms will then come crashing in toward the end of the week into Derby Weekend and that’s an increasing concern of mine.

The lid is about to com off the severe weather season around here. When it goes, I expect some pretty big events.

I will have another update later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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