Daily Archives: April 5, 2018

Time posted: 7:35 pm

First Call For Another Spring Snowfall

Good evening, folks. We continue with the Winter Storm Threat, but things are trending away from this meeting the threshold to be upgraded to an Alert. Our storm system is going to bring a swath of snow across the state, but the moisture supply doesn’t look as impressive as before.

Here’s the First Call For Snowfall…

Be sure to read the headlines on the snow map. 🙂  Can things continue to shift around? Sure. But, we are running out of time and the overall trend is pretty hard to ignore. This is why I waited so long to put out a snow forecast… I just didn’t feel comfortable with the setup.

Winter Storm Watches are still out for much of the state, but I expect this to end up being more of a Winter Weather Advisory type system…

This is a quick-hitter, with Saturday’s weather improving from west to east early on. It’s still cold, though, with highs in the upper 30s and low 40s.

Another system moves in late Sunday and Monday with some rain and snow.

The second half of next week looks MUCH milder with temps making a run toward the 70s. I can see the severe storms threat increasing during this time, though.

I will update things on WKYT starting at 11. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 12:27 pm

Thursday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, gang. We continue with the Winter Storm THREAT for Friday night and Saturday morning. The early day trend among the models is now for a much weaker storm system with a slight push farther to the south and east.

For those new to the game. this is a heads up to the POTENTIAL of 4″ or more of snow falling in parts of our region. If confidence increases, we go to an Alert. If confidence decreases, we scrap the Threat and go along our merry way.

Winter Storm Watches are up for much of the region…

If we look at the forecast models, we find the NAM going from one extreme to the other. The new run puts down a few inches, mainly in the east…

The GFS is also lighter than earlier runs, but isn’t a wimpy as the what the NAM shows…

My thoughts a more in line with what the GFS is showing and I will have a First Call For Snowfall map coming on WKYT-TV starting at 4.

This system moves away VERY quickly Saturday morning, leaving behind a cold, but mainly dry day.

One reason we are likely seeing a weaker trend showing up, is because the follow up system moving in by late Sunday looks stronger…

That could bring another round of snow to parts of the region, to go along with a very ugly looking pattern into early next week.

My time is short, so that’s all you get for now. I will have another update this evening, so check back.

Have a good one and take care.

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