Daily Archives: April 21, 2018

Time posted: 7:18 pm

Saturday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. We are putting the wraps on another nice looking spring day across the Commonwealth. This nice weather is still cooler than normal, but we will take it after what we’ve had of late. As we get ready for the final full week of April, another round of ugly is on he way. Sigh.

Sunday will find clouds thickening, but much of the region stays dry. Showers and some thunder will develop across the west and south later in the day. That action then increases Sunday night and Monday, bringing a heavy rain threat in here. That’s from our southern system working through the region, with another system coming in behind it for Tuesday and Wednesday.

The models continue to increase the rain numbers showing up…

Some local high water issues can’t be ruled out, especially in the west and south. Temps through the duration of the two events will run blow normal.

Speaking of below normal, the end of the week into the weekend continues to look crazy chilly for the end of April. This comes from a deep trough digging in here, bringing another round of showers and wind with it…

Canadian

GFS

That’s one ugly setup, with flakes potentially flying not too far from here. We will have to watch and see how it all evolves in the coming days.

Temps still look to recover as we head into Kentucky Derby week. My early impression is for a nice warm up, with thunderstorms making an appearance. At some point this may, we are likely to blow the lid off on this severe weather season.

Enjoy the rest of your day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:30 am

Looking For Some Changes

Good Saturday, everyone. The weekend is off and running with very nice weather across our part of the world. The nice isn’t going to hang out long, as a series of ugly weather makers roll through Kentucky in the coming week. That means rain chances go up and temps go down.

In the longer term, I’m seeing signs of hope for Kentucky Derby Week. 🙂

Today will feature a mix of sun and clouds with temps hitting the 60s for the entire state. Those clouds will continue to thicken on Sunday, with rain moving in to the west and far south later in the afternoon and evening. That surge of rain is from out slow moving southern storm system and will continue to throw rain at us into Monday. Another system then dives in from the northwest by Tuesday and Wednesday, keeping showers around…

The heaviest rains during this time will be across the southern half of the state…

Gusty winds and below normal temps will be common as both systems roll through.

The setup for the end of the week into the weekend isn’t looking much better, and  at actually look worse. Check out this ugly system showing up on the European…

The GFS is very similar and even some… Some… I can’t even…

That’s a very cold look coming from another deep trough across the eastern half of the country…

As that’s happening, bigger changes are going on in the Northern Hemisphere, leading to the possibility of the pattern flipping to warm as we head into May. Watch how the western ridge comes east, with the jet steam allowing the west to turn chilly for a change…

A pattern like that could bring 80s in the days leading up to Derby…

Keep your fingers crossed on that pattern actually developing!! 🙂

Make it a great day and take care.

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