Monthly Archives: May 2018

Time posted: 2:00 am

Severe Weather Threat Late Today

Good Thursday to one and all. Alberto is now out of the way, but the tropical moisture remains across our part of the world. Throw in another system moving in from the west and you have the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms breaking out.

Here’s a breakdown of the day:

  • A storm or two will be noted out there early today, but much of the action arrives this afternoon and evening.
  • Clusters of strong to severe storms will develop and move in from the west.
  • The prime time for severe weather is this evening into the wee dawn hours of Friday.
  • Damaging winds and large hail are the main threats, especially across western and central Kentucky.
  • Here’s the Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

  • In addition to the severe threat, repeat storms may produce enough rain to cause local high water issues.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will then continue into Friday. Outside of the storms, temps will continue to run steamy with temps deep into the 80s.

Saturday will find only a slight chance for storms around, with highs well into the 80s.

A cold front makes a run at us on Sunday and may fire up some strong storms…

Much cooler air then comes in behind this system into early next week…

I will update things later today. For now, I have you all set to do some Thursday storm tracking…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

15 Comments

Time posted: 2:05 am

Tracking The Local Flash Flood Threat

Good Wednesday, everyone. The remnants of Alberto continue to work from south to north across the western part of the state, bringing heavy rains to this part of the region. The local flash flood threat is confined to western Kentucky then goes areawide today through Thursday night, as rounds of tropical rain producing showers and storms develop.

As the core of Alberto works northward into Indiana, feeder bands of showers and storms will develop across much of the state this afternoon and evening. The main issue to watch for is training of cells that can lead to local high water issues developing.

A few of the storms may also be strong. Here’s the latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

As that system continues to pull away on Thursday, deep tropical moisture remains as another system works in from west to east late in the day. That may fuel additional strong to severe storms through Thursday night. Here’s the Thursday Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

Torrential rains from the thunderstorms may cause additional high water issues into Friday. Unfortunately, another system may bring more storms for the weekend…

Let me be clear that it is NOT going to rain all the time over the next several days. But, when it does rain, the atmosphere can absolutely unload on some areas, creating high water issues.

Outside of the thunderstorm action, it’s a steam bath with temps deep into the 80s on occasion.

Here are your tracking tools for a stormy day…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a good one and take care.

10 Comments

Time posted: 2:12 am

Flash Flood Threat To Increase

Good Tuesday, everyone. The remnants of Alberto are working toward Kentucky today, bringing an increase in heavy rain and strong storms for the next few days. The potential for flash flooding will increase starting late today and carry us through Thursday, with another potential by the weekend.

Let’s get caught up on where Alberto is and the latest forecast track from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

With the track of Alberto moving from south to north across the western half of Kentucky, we will need to watch areas of central and eastern Kentucky for a few strong or severe storms very late today into tonight. Here’s the area the Storm Prediction Center has outlooked for possible severe storms…

Any storm that goes up can also put down a lot of rain in a short amount of time. Western Kentucky has the greatest flash flood risk in the near term, as they will be closer to the track of the low. By Wednesday and Thursday, showers and storms may concentrate more across central and eastern Kentucky. I’m concerned about the cloudburst potential leading to a significant flash flood somewhere in our region.

A few storms will be noted on Friday, with the potential for rounds of storms taking control again over the weekend as a system moves in from the west and northwest…

This could very well lead to another flash flood threat over the weekend.

Stay alert over the next several days, folks.

Here are your Alberto tracking tools…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

13 Comments