Monthly Archives: May 2018

Time posted: 2:00 am

Severe Weather Threat Late Today

Good Thursday to one and all. Alberto is now out of the way, but the tropical moisture remains across our part of the world. Throw in another system moving in from the west and you have the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms breaking out.

Here’s a breakdown of the day:

  • A storm or two will be noted out there early today, but much of the action arrives this afternoon and evening.
  • Clusters of strong to severe storms will develop and move in from the west.
  • The prime time for severe weather is this evening into the wee dawn hours of Friday.
  • Damaging winds and large hail are the main threats, especially across western and central Kentucky.
  • Here’s the Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

  • In addition to the severe threat, repeat storms may produce enough rain to cause local high water issues.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will then continue into Friday. Outside of the storms, temps will continue to run steamy with temps deep into the 80s.

Saturday will find only a slight chance for storms around, with highs well into the 80s.

A cold front makes a run at us on Sunday and may fire up some strong storms…

Much cooler air then comes in behind this system into early next week…

I will update things later today. For now, I have you all set to do some Thursday storm tracking…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great day and take care.

15 Comments

Time posted: 2:05 am

Tracking The Local Flash Flood Threat

Good Wednesday, everyone. The remnants of Alberto continue to work from south to north across the western part of the state, bringing heavy rains to this part of the region. The local flash flood threat is confined to western Kentucky then goes areawide today through Thursday night, as rounds of tropical rain producing showers and storms develop.

As the core of Alberto works northward into Indiana, feeder bands of showers and storms will develop across much of the state this afternoon and evening. The main issue to watch for is training of cells that can lead to local high water issues developing.

A few of the storms may also be strong. Here’s the latest outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

As that system continues to pull away on Thursday, deep tropical moisture remains as another system works in from west to east late in the day. That may fuel additional strong to severe storms through Thursday night. Here’s the Thursday Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

Torrential rains from the thunderstorms may cause additional high water issues into Friday. Unfortunately, another system may bring more storms for the weekend…

Let me be clear that it is NOT going to rain all the time over the next several days. But, when it does rain, the atmosphere can absolutely unload on some areas, creating high water issues.

Outside of the thunderstorm action, it’s a steam bath with temps deep into the 80s on occasion.

Here are your tracking tools for a stormy day…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a good one and take care.

10 Comments

Time posted: 2:12 am

Flash Flood Threat To Increase

Good Tuesday, everyone. The remnants of Alberto are working toward Kentucky today, bringing an increase in heavy rain and strong storms for the next few days. The potential for flash flooding will increase starting late today and carry us through Thursday, with another potential by the weekend.

Let’s get caught up on where Alberto is and the latest forecast track from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

With the track of Alberto moving from south to north across the western half of Kentucky, we will need to watch areas of central and eastern Kentucky for a few strong or severe storms very late today into tonight. Here’s the area the Storm Prediction Center has outlooked for possible severe storms…

Any storm that goes up can also put down a lot of rain in a short amount of time. Western Kentucky has the greatest flash flood risk in the near term, as they will be closer to the track of the low. By Wednesday and Thursday, showers and storms may concentrate more across central and eastern Kentucky. I’m concerned about the cloudburst potential leading to a significant flash flood somewhere in our region.

A few storms will be noted on Friday, with the potential for rounds of storms taking control again over the weekend as a system moves in from the west and northwest…

This could very well lead to another flash flood threat over the weekend.

Stay alert over the next several days, folks.

Here are your Alberto tracking tools…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

13 Comments

Time posted: 1:51 am

Tracking Alberto Toward Kentucky

Good Monday, everyone. On this Memorial Day, let’s pay tribute to all those brave men and women who have given the ultimate sacrifice for our country. To those who bravely serve, and have served our nation, thank you.

In terms of the weather on this Memorial Day, we have a continuation of scattered storms and steamy temps. These scattered storms are bringing torrential downpours, leading to local flash flooding issues. I will have your tracking tools in a bit, but we have to track the tropics first.

Alberto continues to spin toward the Florida Panhandle and is strengthening as it gets closer to making landfall…

What’s left of Alberto will then move toward Kentucky later Tuesday into Wednesday, bringing the potential for heavy rain and a few severe storms. Here’s the latest 3 day forecast from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

Here’s are the areas I’m watching for the heaviest rain and possible flooding…

To the right of the track of Alberto, we will need to watch for scattered strong to severe storms developing. Here’s the area I’m highlighting for that potential…

Watch how well this remains in tact on the NAM…

That’s pretty amazing to see, as Alberto stays a Tropical Depression deep into the Ohio Valley.

Once Alberto goes by, we will watch additional showers and storms targeting our part of the world. We may even see a slow-moving cut off system working right on top of us into early June. That could become a heavy rain maker, keeping temps quite a bit cooler than we have seen for May.

 

I have you all set to track today’s storms. Don’t forget to use the interactive radar to track the storms across Kentucky, and to get a front row seat as Alberto hits the Gulf coast…

Make it a good one and take care.

6 Comments

Time posted: 1:34 pm

Alberto To Impact Kentucky This Week

Good afternoon, gang. I wanted to drop by to update the scattered storms and the Kentucky impact from Alberto. This tropical system will bring heavy rain and strong storms our way by later Tuesday into Wednesday.

Alberto continues to be a very disorganized storm heading toward the Florida Panhandle. Once inland, it will weaken quickly to a Tropical Depression and may still be a depression as it moves into Kentucky Tuesday night. Here’s the official track from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

This storm is getting within radar range down in the sunshine state…

I have no changes to the area most at risk from heavy rain here in Kentucky…

Flooding and flash flooding are possible as Alberto works northward across Kentucky. To the east of the track of the low, we will need to be on guard for potential strong to severe storms. Enough spin is sometimes present to spit out a tornado or two.

Here’s the GFS bringing Alberto across west-central Kentucky…

As Alberto goes through, a big upper level system takes control of our weather, leading to additional rounds of showers and storms through the weekend and into next week…

Folks, a lot of rain may fall around here over the next two weeks. This continues to be an incredibly wet year and that looks to roll on into early Summer, at least.

Speaking of heavy rains, the storms of today can put it down in a hurry. Watch for the possibility of local flash flood issues developing. Here are your local storm tracking tools for the day…

Make it a good one and take care.

7 Comments