Daily Archives: June 10, 2018

Time posted: 1:38 pm

Watching The Flash Flood Potential

Good afternoon, everyone. I wanted to drop by for an update to increase the awareness about the potential for flash flooding issues to develop over the next few days. Rounds of thunderstorms will continue to move across our region, and these will be loaded with torrential rains.

I’ve talked about this pattern for a while now, so it shouldn’t come as a surprise. That said, some of the numbers on the forecast models are a little concerning.

The new Hi Res NAM  is showing several inches falling across central and eastern Kentucky through Tuesday. The max rainfall number on this run is 8.3″…

The Hi Res RPM model has similar totals showing up across the Ohio Valley into central and eastern Kentucky…

These storms are coming in waves and are NOT “pop up storms” as described by one local NWS office. SMH.

Watch the flash flood threat over the next few days. In addition to the flash flood potential, some of the storms may be strong or locally severe. Here’s the outlook from the SPC for the rest of today…

Here’s the Severe Weather Outlook for Monday…

I have you all set to track today’s rounds of storms rolling in from the northwest…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Enjoy the rest of your Sunday and take care.

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Time posted: 2:41 am

Rounds Of Storms Increase

Good Sunday, everyone. It’s another steam bath of a day out there, but we have more in the way of showers and storms to deal with. Some of these storms will be on the strong side, putting down torrential rain at times. This setup will likely carry us through much of the upcoming week.

Today’s storms will be coming at us in clusters from northwest to southeast. A few strong to locally severe storms will be possible. The Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction center shows the low end severe potential..

The setup for Monday looks a lot like the one we have going on today, with northwest to southeast moving storms. Once again, a low-end severe threat is with us…

This flow continues through Tuesday, with the potential for storms to put down a lot of rain in a short amount of time. The NAM is showing the rainfall hot spots that can cause issues….

The GFS rain numbers through the entire week are more broad looking with the hefty totals…

The Canadian shows some hefty totals showing up in those northwest to southeast corridors…

Obviously, the flash flood threat is increased in the coming days, and through next week.

A much cooler look continues to show up after next weekend, but it’s all about the storms until then. Let’s do some Sunday boomer tracking…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible watch areas
Current MDs

Make it a great Sunday and take care.

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