Daily Archives: July 1, 2018

Time posted: 1:50 am

Storms Slowly Creep Back In

Good Sunday and welcome to July! It’s hard to believe we are this deep into summer, but here we are rolling into our 7th month of the year. The month is starting off in typical fashion with steamy temps and scattered storms rumbling back into the picture.

Temps today will be back into the upper 80s and low 90s for highs, with a heat index making it feel much hotter. The atmosphere has more moisture to work with today, leading to a few showers and thunderstorms going up. This is from a decent plume of juice extending from the Gulf into our neck of the woods…

Monday should feature a little better coverage of showers and storms, and that should shave a few degrees off your back porch thermometer. Locally heavy rains are a good bet with the storms going up over the next few days. You can see this on the GFS rainfall forecast through early Tuesday…

As I have mentioned many times over the past few months, this is a summer with no shortage of thunderstorms and rainfall. That’s certainly been the case to date, and appears to be locked and loaded for the rest of the summer. Case in point is the 2 week rain forecast from the GFS…

These rounds of storms will also come with temps averaging above normal. Here’s the CFS temperature anomaly for the first 10 days of July…

You can clearly see the core of heat is to our north and northeast, just as it is right now.

For some time, several of the weekly/monthly models have been forecasting a shift to much cooler for the middle and later parts of July. The same CFS run shows this taking hold from July 10-20…

That’s one heck of a temperature reversal, but I still think the models are rushing that just a little bit. I fully expect the second half of summer to turn much cooler in our region, likely leading us into a chilly fall that can start another season earlier than normal. Wait… Did I just throw a hint out there? Hmmm… It sure looks like one. 😉

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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