Monthly Archives: September 2018

Time posted: 1:44 am

Storms Set To Return

Good Sunday to one and all. September is going out on a very fine weather note, but October looks to come in on an all too familiar note. Showers and thunderstorms will increase in the week ahead as we eye some very cold air to the north and west, and an increase in tropical action.

Temps today are in the 70s with a mix of sun and clouds. Those clouds thicken later tonight and Monday as scattered showers and storms rumble back in. Watch how this action rolls right on into Tuesday…

Temps for the week ahead are above normal with many days in the upper 70s to low 80s. Humidity levels are also up and that’s likely bad news.

We are coming off the wettest September on record and the month ahead looks like more of the same. Hopefully, nowhere near the extent of what we just had, but October looks to be much wetter than average.

The next round of showers and storms arrives later in the week and may carry us into the weekend…

It’s at this point the tropics may have a lot to say with what happens to our weather. Some big time cold fronts make a run at us during this time…

Fall weather loves REALLY need the tropics to calm down before we can get sustained chill in here.

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:40 am

Looking Down The Weather Road

Good Saturday, folks. It’s a gorgeous weekend in the bluegrass state as we get ready to slam the door on the month of September. This nice weather won’t carry over into early October as the threat for showers and thunderstorms rolls back in.

Today starts in the upper 40s and low 50s for many and ends with upper 60s and low 70s for many. A mix of sun and clouds will fill the gap in between. Sunday’s weather will look a  lot like today, but our temps will rise several degrees.

Next week continues to look like a warm one with the threat for showers and thunderstorms increasing. The first system throws scattered storms at us on Monday, with an increase in storms by Tuesday…

The end of the week into next weekend will feature a greater threat for rain and thunderstorms as a cold front drops in from the northwest. This front has a lot of early October cold air behind it, but it’s going to try to check up on top of us. If that’s the case, waves of low pressure may develop along the front, putting us back into a very wet pattern.

The tropics may also come back to life during this time. The tropics bully the overall pattern and you can see some action showing up now…

I’m really impressed by the amount of cold showing up across North America so early in the fall season. This early season cold is laying down one heck of a snowpack for this time of year. Look at the snow for the next 2 weeks on the GFS…

Why is all that important? Because a healthy early season snowpack means the cold shots, when they come, will actually be COLD shots. If you want winter weather, the cold is an essential ingredient, obviously. While those shots haven’t been directly aimed at us, yet, they are impressive for the areas getting them. At some point, that cold hits us and may hit us pretty darn hard early on in the season.

Something else of note… The new long range European Ensembles through November 14. The new run expects much of the country to see flakes during that time period…

The control run of the European is also pretty excited…

The CFS for the fist 2 weeks of November also suggests a shot at early season flakes…

I actually think there is some merit to fall flakes this season. Several of my analog years featured November snows, including 2014. Hint hint. 😉

Make it a great Saturday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:35 am

A Great Looking Weekend Begins

Good Friday to one and all. As we get ready to close the books on one of the wettest September’s on record, Mother Nature is actually sending the month out on a very nice note. The weekend weather looks nothing short of awesome, but storms are lurking for early October. That may lead us into a healthy early season cold shot by next weekend.

Let’s start with this weekend. Temps will be in the upper 40s to middle 50s across the state to start our Friday. A lingering shower quickly moves way from the east, with partly sunny skies taking control. Highs today will be in the upper 60s and low 70s for the central and east, with mid 70s west. One word of caution on the temps… If clouds linger, the numbers will be quite a bit lower.

Saturday will feature temps very similar to what we have today. Those numbers will rise well into the 70s by Sunday as we hang on to dry weather. Basically, this is a great looking fall weekend in Kentucky.

Temps are above normal next week, with a couple of systems working into town. Scattered showers and storms will flare up from time to time…

Typhoon Trami continues to recurve in the western Pacific…

As mentioned, that typically forces a trough to dig into the eastern half of the country a week or so later. Sure enough, check out the European Model temp departure late next weekend…

On a related note… Watch the tropics in the Atlantic. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a couple of October systems making a run at the coast.

Have a great day and take care.

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