Daily Archives: September 3, 2018

Time posted: 2:33 pm

Watching “Flash” Gordon

Happy Labor Day, folks. I wanted to drop by for a very quick update on our fast moving Tropical Storm in the Gulf of Mexico. Given the speed of this thing, I’m calling it “Flash” Gordon. Flash has a date with the central Gulf Coast on Tuesday and has a chance to become a weak hurricane before coming ashore.

As expected, the latest track forecast from the National Hurricane Center keeps being pushed to the east, but still needs to come farther east…

cone graphic

Moisture from this system is likely to reach Kentucky late in the week and may hang around into the weekend as it combines with a stalled out front.

You can see these two getting together at the tail end of the NAM…

The GFS goes through the weekend and takes this system up the Mississippi Valley and into the Great Lakes…

The front that is on top of us later in the week can cause issues with heavy rains. It has tropical moisture to work with, so cloudbursts are possible. We will again see that potential late Saturday into Sunday as what’s left of Gordon heads just to our north, dragging the front through Kentucky.

I leave you with your holiday scattered storm tracking toys…

Make it a great rest of your Labor Day and take care.

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Time posted: 1:37 am

Tropical Moisture May Be On The Way

Good Monday and Happy Labor Day. It’s another very steamy day that will throw more in the way of scattered showers and storms our way. That trend continues for the next few days with the potential for tropical moisture to get involved in our pattern later this week. That may come from a developing system down in the Gulf of Mexico.

Highs on this Labor Day are generally around 90, give or take a few degrees. Humidity levels will make it feel much toastier than that. A few storms develop as the day wears on, with local high winds and torrential rains possible. Track away…

Tuesday looks like more of the same with steamy digits and scattered boomers.

If you’ve been reading for the past few weeks, I’ve been trying to sound the alarms on a big ramp up of tropical action. That is now fully underway with several systems in the Atlantic basin, including our developing system heading into the Gulf of Mexico. Here’s the latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center…

cone graphic

The GFS has been ahead of the curve in taking that system toward Louisiana, while other models were bowling that system due west. Most have been correcting toward the GFS in recent days and I suspect that trend to continue, even in the NHC forecast.

Can this system bring moisture into Kentucky? The short answer is yes!

As this system is slowly coming into the southern Mississippi Valley, a front will be moving into our region and likely become stationary. That should be able to draw up some of the moisture from Gordon to be, and may eventually get whatever is left of the storm to roll toward the Ohio Valley…

How that all plays out remains to be seen, but it’s something for us to watch closely as we go through the rest of the week.

The GFS continues to be similar to the above map…

The Canadian is similar, but takes a wider turn, likely because of what looks like a spurious system moving into Florida at the end of this animation…

As mentioned, our actual weather for the rest of September will largely be determined by what else happens in the tropics. Florence and another system are out in the eastern Atlantic and rolling west…

The GFS continues to advertise a huge trough digging into the eastern half of the country, keeping a monster storm out in the Atlantic…

The Canadian is a little slower with that same trough, allowing the tropical system to impact the east coast next week…

Once again, what happens over the next few weeks will be determined by how these tropical systems behave. As always, we will have fun tracking it all. 🙂

I may even throw you another update later today. Until then… Happy Labor Day and take care.

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