Daily Archives: September 6, 2018

Time posted: 7:08 pm

Thursday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. I only have a short amount of time to spit out an update, so let’s get after it. The post in a nutshell… I have no real changes to the thoughts I’ve been putting out since the weekend. 🙂

Showers and storms continue to blow up this evening and they are putting down a ton of rain to go along with lots of lightning. Watch the creeks and streams…

Friday will find a front draped across the region with tropical moisture continuing to stream into the region. This action will team up to produce more waves of showers and storms that can cause additional flash flood issues.

As we roll into the weekend, what’s left of Gordon works into the Ohio Valley and will drag a cold front across the state. Heavy rain producing showers and storms are a good bet through Sunday and even into Monday. The WPC seems to have a good handle with the rainfall numbers showing up during this time…

The greatest threat for flooding across the northern half of the state, but the local flash flood threat is area-wide.

This system will also tug down cooler air with a nice run of highs in the 70s this weekend into early next week. Unfortunately, additional rounds of showers and storms will carry us into next week.

From there, it’s all about what happens with Hurricane Florence…

cone graphic

This system will roll toward the east coast and may very well impact the coast, but that’s certainly a long way from being a sure thing. The European Model continues to advertise the biggest hit…

As always, we shall see.

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:12 am

High Water Threat Through The Weekend

Good Thursday, folks. Thunderstorms caused a few issues on Wednesday and that’s just the beginning of a very active setup. Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will be common over the next few days, with more widespread action coming this weekend as what’s left of Gordon rolls into the region.

Today’s storms will go up pretty quickly and be in clusters. These storms will have two main calling cards… a lot of lightning and torrential rains. These storms may produce a few inches of rain in less than an hour, bringing a local flash flood threat.

Track away…

A cold front is settling into the region from the northwest. This front will be the forcing mechanism to force this tropical air to rise, bringing some hefty rain numbers through Friday. Just like today, the Friday storms will be loaded with lightning and may cause local flash flooding.

The front hangs around into the weekend as the remnant low from Gordon works from Missouri into the Ohio Valley. The setup is there for a lot of rain to fall across our region from Saturday through early Monday. It won’t rain the entire time, but the threat for showers and storms will really increase compared to what we are seeing now…

Strong/severe storms are possible, but the flood threat is the top dog of the weather weekend…

Once that system departs, a boundary remains across our region and will stretch into the Gulf of Mexico. This will be a river of tropical moisture capable of spitting out more heavy rain producing showers and storms.

As this is happening, the east coast will be on high alert from a possible impact from Hurricane Florence…

cone graphic

Florence is a major hurricane and will likely stay that way through next week. Watch how the models turn Florence into a monster storm threatening the east coast. Here’s the GFS…

The Canadian…

I will update things later today. Until then, make it a good one and take care.

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