Daily Archives: October 16, 2018

Time posted: 7:02 pm

Tuesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on where our weather pattern is going in the coming days. It’s basically a setup out of November that continues to roll on, bringing much below normal temps into the region, with frost and freezing temps a good bet.

Patchy frost is possible later tonight as skies clear, but the best chance for widespread frost comes Thursday morning. Temps will hit the low 30s for many areas.

Rain moves in quickly on Friday and takes us into early Saturday. The blast of cold coming in behind this front is sharper on someĀ models than others. The latest European Model has a sharper trough diving in Saturday night and early Sunday…

That run is trying to spit out a few flakes during that time…

That’s something the GFS was showing a few days ago, but it’s backed off that look for now. Still, both models are bringing a healthy shot of cold into the region for Sunday and Monday.

I’m going to continue to focus on the final week of October for the potential for a slow-moving big storm system across the eastern half of the country. That signal is healthy on the Ensembles…

Enjoy the evening and take care.


Time posted: 1:52 am

Tracking Frosty Cold Temps

Good Tuesday, folks. The calendar says October, but we really haven’t had any kind of October weather, yet. We went from summer straight into November-like temps and that’s a pattern that is rolling on. Frost and freezing temps kick in this week, with much colder weather on the way by late this weekend and next week.

Today starts with leftover showers in the southeast, where temps will be a little milder than the rest of the state…

Temps across much of the rest of the state drop into the 30s, with some frost showing up in the north and west.

Clouds are going to be tough to get rid of today, but some breaks should show up. Temperatures can be held under 50 for areas keeping the clouds, but should generally reach 50-55 for much of the state.

Wednesday will find a weak front dropping in, bringing gusty winds and fair skies. The air behind this front is the coldest of the young fall season, with readings at or below freezing by Thursday morning…

Widespread frost and a light freeze are likely across Kentucky and surrounding areas. Green thumbs are on high alert. šŸ™‚

Our next system rolls our way Friday into Saturday with another blast of cold air to follow that up. Watch the rain roll in with flaks flying to our north and east after it rolls through…

Temps behind that are cold and should hit the upper 20s and low 30s for lows.

I continue to point toward the final week of October for a big amplification of the jet stream across the eastern half of the country. The signal has been there for a few days and it continues to show up. Check out the deep trough on the GFS Ensembles…

With all that blocking across Canada, that could fire up a big slow-moving storm system.

I will try to update later today. Make it a good one and take care.