Daily Archives: October 23, 2018

Time posted: 7:02 pm

Tuesday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. We are in the middle of a very nice run of fall weather, but that’s about to change in a hurry. A major storm system rolls our way by the end of the week, with another to follow that up for the weekend. Moral of the story, some ugly weather is on the way.

Much of the energy¬†for the end of the week storm is coming from a Pacific Hurricane names Willa. This storm is coming ashore along the Mexico coastline, but is already helping push clouds ahead of it all the way into our region…

That rolls across Texas and into the deep south on Thursday. This looks like a wintertime storm with a double barrel low pressure, with one working into the eastern Ohio Valley as the main low goes up the coast. Here’s the NAM for Thursday and Friday…

The European Model is in the same camp with the evolution of this potent storm…

That’s a nice rain and wind maker for our region, with chilly temps joining the party.

Another system then dives in here by Sunday and Monday, bringing some really ugly weather…

That’s not too far away from being a flake maker, but most of what falls should be in liquid form. Still, that’s one heck of a setup for this time of year and bodes well for the winter ahead.

In my last update, I mentioned a recurving western Pacific typhoon and how that likely means an even deeper trough later next week. The European is seeing this very well…

November is likely to be a very active, but fun weather month around here. Buckle up for what I think will be a wild weather ride!

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 2:18 am

Tracking The Late Week Storm

Good Tuesday, folks. We have a weak cold front slipping through the state today, bringing another shot of cold air for the next few days. As that happens, the overall pattern gets ready to really crank by the end of the week into the weekend. That’s when a deep trough slowly works across the eastern half of the country, bringing a couple big storm systems with it.

Today is a windy and very nice day with temps in the pleasant 60s. Those numbers come way back down behind the front for Wednesday and Thursday. Highs will struggle into the low 50s with frost and freezing temps during the mornings.

Hurricane Willa is coming ashore along the Pacific coast of Mexico today. This powerful storm is already throwing tropical clouds all the way toward our region…

The remnant low from Willa will cross Mexico and into Texas and then merge with a deepening trough across the eastern half of the country. Here are the European Ensembles tr

Another Pacific Hurricane, Sergio, also crossed the country to bring is rain a few weeks ago. To have two different Pacific tropical systems bring us rain is absolutely astounding!

That system will quickly throw rain our way as early as Thursday. The NAM only goes out through Friday morning, but you can clearly see a healthy system forming…

Snow lovers would be going crazy with that kind of setup in the winter, or even a month from now.

The Canadian shows something very similar then takes this storm up the east coast with additional systems diving in behind it…

Rounds of rain, gusty winds and chilly temps are on tap for the bluegrass state from late Thursday through early next week.

As I look at the pattern to close out October and begin November, we may very well see another deep trough digging into the country. This one may get help from a recurving typhoon in the western Pacific…

If that system does recurve as the models suggest, that energy would wind up heading toward the Aleutian Islands, forcing a blocky looking ridge ahead of it. This would send a very deep trough into the US and several of the medium range models are seeing the potential…

For the record, my analog years bring a severe storms threat and snow for the month of November.

I will update things later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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