Daily Archives: October 28, 2018

Time posted: 2:55 pm

Sunday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, gang. Winds are cranking this afternoon as a small system zips across the Ohio Valley. That is also producing a few showers and storms. The main show arrives Halloween into Thursday as a strong low pressure works through our region.

Wind gusts this afternoon top out from 40-50mph at times. Hold on to those Halloween decorations. 🙂 A few showers and isolated storms are also on the move…

Our next system targets Kentucky on Halloween and into Thursday. This is a strong low pressure wrapping up and moving across the Ohio Valley. How strong this system is will be the determining factor on exactly how much rain and wind it can produce. We may also be looking at a few strong or severe storms east of the track of the low.

The European Model continues to be consistent with a strong system…

Rain totals from this run continue to be impressive…

Obviously, that would be enough to produce flooding issues. The Euro continues to advertise 50mph+ winds.

A weaker system follows that up by Friday night and Saturday…

The GFS isn’t quite as strong as the European, but still has a healthy storm…

Rainfall from the GFS is a bit lighter, but more spread out in terms of coverage…

Don’t be surprised if we don’t see a similar system moving in late next weekend or into early the following week. This jet stream is supercharged and will likely give us additional big precipitation and wind makers through November. Right now, I don’t see any reason to say this doesn’t continue into winter. My Bold Prediction may be similar to one I put our a few years ago. I hit on 4 straight Bold Calls, so it’s up to you to figure out which one I’m talking about. 😉

I may throw you another update this evening. Enjoy and take care.

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Time posted: 3:08 am

Tracking High Winds and A Monster Of A Halloween Storm

Good Sunday, everyone. High winds are coming at us today as a potent little system crosses the Ohio Valley. The system will be a much bigger deal as it moves in here for Halloween and the first day or two of November. That one will bring heavy rain, thunderstorms and high winds with cold air to follow.

Let’s start with today’s system. Low pressure is zipping across the Ohio Valley, bringing high winds and a few showers and storms. The winds are the main factor and may gusty from 40-50mph at times. This would be enough to cause some power hits and could cause some tree damage. There is also a local strong to severe storms threat across the north and east…

Here’s regional radar to track the gusty showers and storms…

Monday and Tuesday look really good, but that goes downhill very quickly on Halloween. A major storm system will wrap up and move right on top of Kentucky and the Ohio Valley through Thursday and Friday. This storm will be intense and bring the potential for flooding rains, strong thunderstorms and high winds. The European Model shows our monster storm…

Excessive rains can easily cause flooding and flash flooding issues…

The European is consistently showing wind gusts of 50-60mph along and east of the track of the low. Wow! We may also see strong to severe storms in in some of the same areas east of the low.

The GFS is now fully on board…

The Canadian concurs…

Much colder air wraps in behind this powerful storm and has the chance to throw a flake into the region before all is said and done.

Still, the Wednesday-Thursday storm may be a headline maker in our region. I will have updates later today.

Have a good one and take care.

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