Daily Archives: November 8, 2018

Time posted: 7:30 pm

A Quick Look At The Winter Potential

Good evening, gang. If it’s the third update of the day, it must mean some winter weather is on the horizon for Kentucky and surrounding areas. This mid-November setup is a cold one that will throw a couple of snow chances our way.

The first possible flake maker comes Friday night and will be preceded by a decent rain maker tonight and Friday. Regional radar will track an increase in the action this evening…

Temps take a big time tumble from late afternoon into the evening on Friday. Skies may dry for a bit then some wraparound moisture swings in from the northwest. That should be in flurry form, but the Hi Res NAM continues to show a few snow showers…

That’s likely overzealous with the snow shower action, so let’s just go with a few flurries for some areas.

Nothing has changed with the potential system early next week. It’s a storm that rolls out of the Gulf and up the east coast. That may bring a swath of snow to our region later Monday into Tuesday…

GFS

New version of the GFS

It’s a little crazy here at WKYT at the moment with us on lockdown and the bomb squad in the parking lot, so I gotta run. Have a great evening and take care.

11 Comments

Time posted: 1:20 pm

Thursday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, folks. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the upcoming winter weather potential across our part of the world. We have two chances to see some flakes over the next week, with the main potential coming later Monday and Tuesday.

The first item up for bids is Friday evening flurry maker. This comes in behind a rain system moving in later tonight and Friday. Northwesterly winds and a weak disturbance will combine to help spit out some snowflakes from later Friday evening into Saturday morning.

The Hi Res NAM continues to show a few out and out snow showers…

Temps by Saturday morning are deep in the 20s with wind chills in the teens. Highs only reach the 30s, but it feels like the 20s all day long.

The next storm system is a much stronger one that develops across the deep south and rolls up the east coast. This happens as arctic air moves in from Canada and that’s usually a recipe for a healthy snow to the west of the track of the low. But, exactly where does that low track? That’s the crucial factor in how much snow, if any, we get in Kentucky.

The GFS continues to favor a track that brings snow to much of central and eastern Kentucky…

The Canadian Model is farther west with the track of the low and actually develops a secondary low along the boundary into Wednesday…

The chance for accumulating snow is on the table for early next week, but that’s about all I can tell you at the moment. With the amount of cold air coming in, IF we can get snow on the ground, record cold temps would be possible. IF being the key word. 🙂

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and will throw another update at ya this evening. Make it a good  one and take care.

5 Comments

Time posted: 2:00 am

Friday Night Flakes Possible

Good Thursday, everyone. We are dealing with a winter looking and feeling pattern settling in for the next week or so. This setup will bring some very cold air into our region and will also throw a few snow chances our way. This has been talked about on the blog for some time, so it shouldn’t be coming as a big shock to everyone. 🙂

Clouds will increase today with a stray shower possible…

The rain chances ramp up tonight and early Friday as low pressure works across the Tennessee Valley and into the Appalachian Mountains. Winds will be gusty and the rain will be cold with snow to our north and northwest. After skies briefly dry during the afternoon hours on Friday, a weak disturbance dives in Friday evening and night and may produce a few snowflakes.

The Hi Res NAM shows some snow showers…

Temps drop into the 20s with gusty winds making it feel even colder. Check out the wind chill numbers by Saturday morning…

Brr! Highs on Saturday stay in the 30s for many areas, but wind chills stay in the 20s.

Sunday is a seasonally cold day, but the focus quickly shifts to a winter storm system developing across the eastern half of the country early next week. This system forms in the deep south and rolls up the eastern slopes of the Appalachian Mountains.

This system has the chance to bring an early season snow to our region. Chance being the key word from 4-5 days out.

Here’s how the GFS sees it…

The new version of the GFS has a similar look…

The Canadian Model is a little farther west with the track, but also has rain to light snow scenario…

Can we get a true snowfall from this system? The answer is yes, but it depends on the exact track of the low. That’s something I will be trying to nail down over the next few days.

The air with that system is absolutely frigid. Lows may hit the teens with more than one day of highs in the low and mid 30s.

Updates later today. Have a good one and take care.

8 Comments