Daily Archives: November 8, 2018

Time posted: 7:30 pm

A Quick Look At The Winter Potential

Good evening, gang. If it’s the third update of the day, it must mean some winter weather is on the horizon for Kentucky and surrounding areas. This mid-November setup is a cold one that will throw a couple of snow chances our way.

The first possible flake maker comes Friday night and will be preceded by a decent rain maker tonight and Friday. Regional radar will track an increase in the action this evening…

Temps take a big time tumble from late afternoon into the evening on Friday. Skies may dry for a bit then some wraparound moisture swings in from the northwest. That should be in flurry form, but the Hi Res NAM continues to show a few snow showers…

That’s likely overzealous with the snow shower action, so let’s just go with a few flurries for some areas.

Nothing has changed with the potential system early next week. It’s a storm that rolls out of the Gulf and up the east coast. That may bring a swath of snow to our region later Monday into Tuesday…

GFS

New version of the GFS

It’s a little crazy here at WKYT at the moment with us on lockdown and the bomb squad in the parking lot, so I gotta run. Have a great evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:20 pm

Thursday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, folks. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the upcoming winter weather potential across our part of the world. We have two chances to see some flakes over the next week, with the main potential coming later Monday and Tuesday.

The first item up for bids is Friday evening flurry maker. This comes in behind a rain system moving in later tonight and Friday. Northwesterly winds and a weak disturbance will combine to help spit out some snowflakes from later Friday evening into Saturday morning.

The Hi Res NAM continues to show a few out and out snow showers…

Temps by Saturday morning are deep in the 20s with wind chills in the teens. Highs only reach the 30s, but it feels like the 20s all day long.

The next storm system is a much stronger one that develops across the deep south and rolls up the east coast. This happens as arctic air moves in from Canada and that’s usually a recipe for a healthy snow to the west of the track of the low. But, exactly where does that low track? That’s the crucial factor in how much snow, if any, we get in Kentucky.

The GFS continues to favor a track that brings snow to much of central and eastern Kentucky…

The Canadian Model is farther west with the track of the low and actually develops a secondary low along the boundary into Wednesday…

The chance for accumulating snow is on the table for early next week, but that’s about all I can tell you at the moment. With the amount of cold air coming in, IF we can get snow on the ground, record cold temps would be possible. IF being the key word. 🙂

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and will throw another update at ya this evening. Make it a good  one and take care.

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