Daily Archives: November 14, 2018

Time posted: 7:10 pm

Winter Storm Tracker

Good evening, folks. Our winter storm is bringing snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain to the bluegrass state. This mess is causing some issues across parts of the region. The freezing rain is really adding up across parts of central Kentucky and is the focus of the next several hours.

Some very quick thoughts before I get to your tracking tools:

  • Freezing rain and sleet are combining forces to create hazardous conditions in the areas I have been outlining. The area will change to mainly rain later tonight and early Friday.
  • Southeastern and far southern Kentucky is mainly dealing with rain.
  • Western Kentucky is getting snow and a light mix. Several inches of wet snow may accumulate in the far west.
  • The snow from the west slowly works eastward on Thursday and reaches eastern Kentucky by late afternoon into the evening. This may bring light accumulations to much of central and eastern parts of the state.

Here are your tracking toys for the storm…

 

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

I-75 MP 127
Georgetown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-64 MP 97
Winchester
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Mountain Parkway @ MP 36
Near Pine Ridge

Florence

No image available.

Covington

No image available.

No image available.

Louisville

No image available.

No image available.

No image available.

E-town

No image available.

I-65 MP 36
Near Bowling Green
I-65 MP 36

I-65 @ 234
Near Bowling Green
I-65 @ 234

Natcher Parkway MP 5
Near Bowling Green
Natcher Parkway @ MP 5

US 41A Gate 5 Fort Campbell Entrance
Fort Campbell
US 41A @ Gate 5

I-24  MP 4 @ US 60
Paducah
I-24 @ US 60 MP 4

I-24 MP 7 @ US 62
Paducah
I-24 MP 7 @ US62

Stay safe and enjoy the rest of the evening. Take care.

23 Comments

Time posted: 12:36 pm

Updating The Wintry Mess Moving In

Good afternoon, everyone. I wanted to drop by for a few quick thoughts on the winter storm moving into our region. Rain, sleet, snow and freezing rain are all likely across the state through tonight, with rain and snow lingering through Thursday night.

A Winter Weather Advisory is out for much of the state…

I’ve seen nothing to change my mind from the thoughts I’ve been laying out for the past few days…

Is that going to work our perfectly? No, but it gives you a general idea of how this may play out through tomorrow night.

It’s interesting to note the cold air today is stronger than many of the model forecasts. That will certainly play a role in the precipitation types and may offer up more frozen precipitation. With that cold holding, ground temps and road temps are slipping. Much of this changes to plain old rain by morning.

The various computer models are still hitting the freezing rain potential pretty good. I’m especially noticing an uptick from the Lexington metro to Louisville down the Interstate 65 corridor. We may really need to watch this area..

NAM

Hi Res NAM

The Canadian continues to have a nasty look…

The GFS is much lighter…

Far western Kentucky is still in line for a healthy snowfall with several inches a good bet. The GFS continues to hint at some better snows back into eastern Kentucky late Thursday as the upper level low crashes in from the west…

Upper lows can sometimes become overachievers in terms of snow.

I will get your full tracking tools on later today and will have constant updates on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm. Here are your radars to track the precipitation in…

Make it a good one and take care.

12 Comments

Time posted: 2:22 am

Tracking The Winter Storm Impact

Good Wednesday, everyone. A winter storm is set to impact the region later today through Thursday. Rain, sleet, freezing rain and snow will all be noted with this storm, and that’s a very rare occurrence for the month of November.

Let’s begin with the latest Winter Weather Alerts map. This will update as new information comes in…

All modes of winter precipitation are on the table from late this afternoon into the wee hours of Thursday morning. Snow, sleet, freezing rain and rain will be showing up across Kentucky. Given the different precipitation types and duration of each, nailing down amounts is super tough for any one location.

Let me begin by saying I do not expect this to be a full blow ice storm in the true sense of the term. The ground temps are still above freezing, so that will help us out in a big way. Still, elevated surfaces could pick up on a coating of ice as far western Kentucky picks up on a heavy band of snow.

I’m leaving open a pretty good window of freezing rain accumulation and will close the gap with my next update. Here’s a general First Call for Ice and Snowfall…

Let me try to break that down a little better:

  • The snow in western Kentucky will be fairly heavy at times. Accumulations of 2″-6″ are possible. Heavier totals will likely be just north of the river.
  • The freezing rain and mix area will experience a little bit of everything from this evening into the wee hours of Thursday morning. By daybreak, temps should be above freezing with mostly rain falling. That rain continues to fall into the daytime hours before switching to light snow from west to east by late afternoon and evening. Light accumulations will be possible.
  • The mainly rain area may still see a touch of frozen at the start, but rain looks like the main precipitation type until late Thursday into Thursday night. That’s when light snow takes over with light accumulation possible.

Let’s get a check of what some of the models are suggesting. The European Model has a healthy swath of freezing rain…

That’s similar to the Canadian…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

For snowfall, the heaviest action is across the far west. The European…

The NAM has some pockets of better snows farther east with the wrap around action late Thursday…

So does the European Model…

I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.

 

11 Comments