Daily Archives: November 17, 2018

Time posted: 6:47 pm

Saturday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. We are rolling through  a fairly nice weekend, but another cold front is ready to crash the party by Sunday night and Monday. From there, we head into Thanksgiving week with some pretty nice weather for travel day and turkey day. Past that, the pattern threatens to take a walk on the wild side.

Clouds will increase  Sunday as temps stay very nice with most in the 50s. A late day shower will be noted in the north and west, with an increase in rain Sunday night and Monday. That’s when our weak front passes through here with seasonal brand of cold behind it.

A northwesterly flow on Tuesday may spit out a few showers, with even a flake possibly showing up…

 

As mentioned, Wednesday and Thanksgiving look pretty darn nice with a seasonal chill in the air and dry conditions.

By the time we roll into Black Friday and into Saturday, a quick hitting storm system is likely to throw rain our way. That will be followed by another system coming in behind it that can unleash much more of a winter look…

If you’re a regular reader, you know I’ve been pointing toward the last week of November into early December for winter to make a big return. As blocking goes up in the areas we look for to produce winter weather, the same active pattern from the year shows no signs of letting up. Watch the potent storm systems crossing the country…

That’s a look that can produce another early season winter storm or two around these parts.

I will get more into that later tonight. Until then, enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 2:25 am

Looking Toward Thanksgiving Week

Good Saturday, everyone.  Thanksgiving week is just about upon us and the overall wintry pattern is taking a bit of a break. That doesn’t mean we break out into a much milder setup, but it won’t be anything like that past few weeks. Looking past Thanksgiving, Old Man Winter is likely to crash back in here to close out November and usher in December.

Today is a mostly  cloudy day in the north and that keeps temps in the low and mid 40s. Farther south, the numbers will head deep into the 50s.

A weak area of low pressure works into the Ohio Valley later Sunday and Monday. That will bring some late day showers to the north and west, with the bulk of the rain arriving Sunday night into Monday. This could be followed by a northwesterly flow by Monday night into early Tuesday. The Nam even suggests a rain or snow shower…

The European has a similar look for Tuesday…

Things continue to look dry for the busy travel period on Wednesday, even with another surge of cold giving us a glancing blow by Thanksgiving. Check out this deep trough just to our northeast…

Thanksgiving looks seasonally chilly, but dry.

The pattern turns rather convoluted across the country as we get into the rest of the holiday weekend. Several different systems will be working across the country, each of them just itching to amplify the pattern once again. The first system may throw rain our way as early as Friday or Saturday…

Another system tries to follow that up a few days later as our winter pattern begins to return…

I will throw you another update later today. Have a good one and take care.

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