Daily Archives: November 20, 2018

Time posted: 7:02 pm

Thoughts On The Pattern Ahead

Good evening, folks. It’s another cold, dreary November day wrapping up across the bluegrass state. As we inch closer to Thanksgiving, we will be seeing much better weather rolling in for holiday travelers. Once past the big day, this very active pattern ramps back up, with winter weather chances increasing.

There could still be a leftover sprinkle or snow flurry before the evening is finished. Not much of that will show up on regional radar so don’t stress your eyes trying to find them…

Wednesday and Thanksgiving continue to look dry with a healthy temperature spread from northeast to southwest, with areas in the northeast being much chillier.

Black Friday starts off in good shape, but rain sweeps in late in the day into Friday night. That system lingers into Saturday…

The system behind that is likely a big wind maker from Sunday through Tuesday. Rain is likely along and ahead of this system, with a switch to a mix of rain and snow then a few snow showers…

I’m still watching the setup behind that for the end of next week. That’s a setup that has been throwing a winter storm signal out from time to time. The late day GFS picked up on that possibility…

The pattern closing November and beginning December has a cold and wintry look to it. The European Ensembles show a major block across the Arctic and that forces a split in the polar vortex. One piece of that goes to the other side of the globe, with another piece heading into Canada…

That could lead to a direct discharge of arctic air into the eastern half of the country for early December…

Make it a great evening and take care.

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