Daily Archives: November 21, 2018

Time posted: 7:33 pm

Thanksgiving Eve Update

Good evening, folks. It’s Thanksgiving Eve and all is well in the weather world as holiday travelers hit the highways and the skyways. This nice stuff takes us into Thanksgiving, but things get super active after that. Two systems are going to impact the weekend, with the last one bringing a shot of winter. That likely begins another very wintry setup carrying us into early December.

The rain that rolls in later Friday into early Saturday is likely to bring some pretty good rains to the state, especially in central and eastern Kentucky. The NAM has some 1″-2″ rains showing up…

That would be enough rain to push several cities into the wettest year on record. Lexington just needs a little more than 1″ of rain to take the top spot.

Winds are also very gusty Friday into Saturday.

The next system moves in quickly behind this one and arrives by Sunday evening. Winds are going to crank with this storm system and should reach 40mph+ at times…

A wall of rain rolls quickly eastward across the state as temps crash quickly. Rain will change to a period of light snow Sunday night and early Monday with wraparound snow showers or flurries behind it.

The models are in their typical “all over the place” mode for later next week. There is just too much energy in a loaded pattern for much consistency from the operational models. Still, they’re trying to figure it all out…

I continue to watch the European Ensembles showing a VERY cold setup as we get into early December. The Polar Vortex is on our side of the pole the coldest temps anomalies in the northern hemisphere are aimed right at us…

That could be some serious cold if it works out.

Snow chances should also be noted and the GFS Ensembles are picking up this pretty well over the next 2 weeks…

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:58 am

Planes, Trains and Automobiles

Good Wednesday, everyone. The day before Thanksgiving is a special one here on Kentucky Weather Center. The busiest travel day of the year gets it’s own special post based on one of my all time favorite movies… Planes, Trains and Automobiles.

It’s a classic movie, and if you haven’t seen it, we can no longer be friends. 🙂

Here’s a little clip to get you guys started…

The weather on this busiest travel day of the year looks pretty good as skies become partly sunny. Temps are mainly in the 40s for highs, with a few low 50s west.

Thanksgiving Day will start in the 20s, but end with a decent temp spread. The arctic front delivering the bitter cold to the northeast is sideswiping the state. That means the northeastern part of Kentucky may struggle to get into the low 40s, with 50s in the west. Clouds may also linger into parts of central and eastern Kentucky.

Things loo good for Black Friday shoppers for much of the daylight hours. BY evening, rain increases quickly from west to east and will continue into Saturday. Some decent rain totals will be noted during this time…

Winds will be very gusty during this time.

The next storm system is likely to bring higher winds as it moves in late Sunday into Monday. This has the look of heavy rain to a mix then snow showers and flurries as a stout low wraps up across the Ohio Valley…

Light snow accumulations are possible with this system.

Winds of 40mph+ will be likely from Sunday afternoon through early Monday as temps crash in a hurry. Watch how quickly those numbers drop Sunday into Sunday night…

The month of November has been a very wintry and cold one across our region and for much of the country. With a small break upon us, I’ve been pointing toward  the end of November into early December as having the look of some big winter weather opportunities.  The models are now going that direction and the global indices are too.

The holy grail of winter indices would be a -AO, -NAO, +PNA and -EPO. Well, look at what is being forecast into early December…

That’s a healthy signal for rounds of winter weather and much colder than normal temps into early December, at least.

I will have updates later today, so check back. Stay safe on the Planes, Trains and Automobiles and remember… THOSE AREN’T PILLOWS! 🙂 Take care.

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