Daily Archives: November 25, 2018

Time posted: 7:44 pm

Snow Shower Thoughts

Good evening to all. It’s a 3 update kinda day, so that must mean Old Man Winter is about to throw some action our way. The final week of November has been highlighted here for a cold air outbreak with snow chances and it looks like the Old Man (not talking about me :)) is ready to deliver the goods.

I’m not going to rehash everything I’ve said already today and in the days before, but I will hit the high notes:

  • A cold front sweeps across the state tonight with showers and isolated storms ahead of it.
  • Temps crash behind the front with readings hitting the low 30s by morning.
  • Rain changes to a period of light snow behind the front.
  • Wraparound snow showers and squalls will be common as the day wears on. This action then continues into Monday night across central Kentucky, then in the east through Tuesday night. Light accumulations are likely.
  • Slick roads are possible, especially after dark Monday. Can we squeeze out a few school delays or cancellations on Tuesday? Yep.
  • Temps will be frigid during this time and may not get out of the 20s for highs on Tuesday. Wind chills are even colder.

Let’s take a look at the NAM so you can get good idea of how the wraparound snow showers give way to additional snow showers on that strong northwest flow…

Some areas can pick up an inch of snow out of this scenario. The forecast¬†models actually have some pockets of 1″-2″…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

I may even put together a First Call For Snowfall map later tonight.

Something else that deserves a shout out… The wind chill numbers. These digits are absolutely frigid for November…

I leave you with your radars to track the blizzard moving to our northwest and the rain moving into Kentucky…

Enjoy the rest of the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:58 pm

Tracking The Winter Blast Toward Kentucky

Good afternoon, folks. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the blast of winter weather on the way later tonight and Monday. Frigid temps and fairly widespread light snow and snow showers will be blowing into the region during this time.

This setup has been talked about on KWC for nearly two weeks now as Old Man Winter isn’t wasting any time getting things started this year. We’ve already had 8 days with winter precipitation falling across the state and that number hits double digits the next few days.

A blizzard is raging across the plains and this system is rolling toward the Great Lakes. Rain will increase ahead of this and roll quickly from west to east through the evening. Take the interactive radar into the blizzard and watch the live storm chase streams…

Temps crash overnight as a cold front sweeps east. Winds are going to absolutely crank with light snow developing behind the front. From there, a strong northwesterly wind will cause widespread snow showers and a few squalls to develop across central and eastern Kentucky Monday afternoon through the evening. Those snow showers will still be noted into early Tuesday across the east…

You can also see that streak of light snow diving in from the northwest. I still think that can hold together for a renewed flakes threat later Tuesday into Tuesday night.

Light snow accumulations are now a pretty good bet through Monday night. The numbers are cumulative and not indicative of snow depth at any one time, but you can see how the models are getting a little more robust on some sticking snow…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

Canadian (RGEM)

Temps drop all day long on Monday with gusty winds making it feel like the low and middle 20s. Wind chill numbers drop deep into the teens by Tuesday morning and may stay near 20 Tuesday. That’s when actual temps struggle to get out of the upper 20s for highs.

The setup for late week into the weekend is for a couple of systems to roll our way. Those continue to trend farther east and colder. Watch how those unleash another potentially big winter pattern…

This is a super cold look that ensues…

Old Man Winter ain’t playing around!

I may throw you another update this evening, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:59 am

Winter Gets Set To Charge Back In

Good Sunday, folks. We have a very windy and mild weather day taking shape across the region. This is ahead of a storm system rolling into the region tonight, bringing a fairly dramatic temperature drop and a change back to winter behind it. This change will include rounds of snow showers and flurries to start the last work week of November.

Temps today should hit the 60s on a strong southwest wind. This is ahead of a winter storm pounding areas from the plains starts into the Great Lakes. As that storm rolls toward the Lakes, it drags a cold front across Kentucky tonight. A line of showers and some thunder develop ahead of the front from west to east.

Our interactive radar lets you track that action and gives you live streams from the snowstorm to our northwest. Give it a spin…

As the front swings through tonight, temps crash some 20 degrees in just a few hours. Some areas of light snow will be noted behind the front, but it’s the northwesterly wind that should cause the best flakes to fly as the day wears on and into Monday night. This is a really good flow for snow showers in central and eastern Kentucky, especially…

Some light accumulations are possible during this time, especially later Monday into Monday night. In looking at the snowfall maps from the models, keep in mind these are cumulative and not an exact depth at any one time. Snow showers can put down a quick accumulation that melts then does it all over again an hour or two later…

Hi Res NAM

NAM

Canadian (RGEM)

This is a VERY cold air mass for this time of year and will do quite the number on our temps. The numbers stay in he 30s on Monday, but may struggle to get to freezing on Tuesday. Check out the NAM temps…

Throw the winds into the mix and you get some frigid wind chill numbers…

That little snow system for Tuesday night into Wednesday isn’t as robust as before on the models. Watch how the NAM sees it, but shears it out as it dives inform the northwest…

Temps do moderate following that heading into the weekend, but we are already seeing a trend toward colder showing up on the models. Instead of systems going well west of us, the trend is to bring them farther east…

We will have to see how it all plays out, but a very cold pattern will likely ensue during the first week of December.

I will have updates later. Have a good one and take care.

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