Daily Archives: November 28, 2018

Time posted: 12:24 pm

A Touch Of Ice Possible Thursday

Good afternoon, everyone. Snow showers and flurries are still flying across parts of southeastern Kentucky as cold northwest winds continue. As we go into a small break from winter, there’s still the chance a touch of winter weather kicks off that windy and wet break.

Before I get to that, let me throw the regional radar your way to track the flakes in the east…

I’ve talked and talked about the potential for tomorrow’s light rain to start out as a touch of sleet or freezing rain. The models weren’t supporting this, but I chose to live in the real weather world and not the virtual weather world. 😉 Now, the models are trying to get into CB frame of mind and are showing some light ice in the north…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

With low-level cold, dry air in place, a brief period of freezing rain or sleet is possible before we go over to plain old light rain as temps rise.

Rain and a few thunderstorms are likely from Friday through Saturday as low pressure wraps up across the Mississippi Valley and heads toward the Great Lakes. Heavy rainfall and high winds of 40-50mph are possible during this time…

A few strong storms are possible, especially across the west.

Colder air seeps in behind this system by Monday as the next system tries to develop. We are seeing a split in the modelling on how to handle any potential storm system early next week. The GFS goes back and forth with the track of any potential storm. The current run as it on top of us with likely a rain to snow setup…

The Canadian pushes this storm farther south and east and is much weaker. It basically crushes the storm with arctic air flooding in from the northwest…

We shall see how this works out, but it appears to be a rain to snow situation in my eyes.

Very cold air moves in behind that as we watch for a much bigger storm system to take a southern track toward the end of next week…

I will try to update things later today, so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:07 am

Big Changes On The Way

Good Wednesday, folks. The current pattern just doesn’t get much more wintry for the month of November across the bluegrass state. Widespread snow showers have caused all kinds of travel issue and frigid temps and gusty winds have produced single digit wind chills. This has been some crazy stuff for so early in the season and is likely a preview of what winter holds for us.

This pattern is about to take a windy and wet break for a few days and I will touch on that in a few. Let’s begin with another frigid weather day in the bluegrass state.

This marks the 11th day of the month with winter precipitation falling from the sky. Snow showers and flurries will still be common this morning with lingering afternoon flakes in the east…

Slick roads this morning will likely lead to delays and cancellations for some. Temps out the door are mainly in the teens with wind chills in the single digits. The rest of the day features a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the 30s, but a wind chill hanging in the 20s.

As the bitter cold moves away on Thursday, another system moves in. This may bring a period of sleet and light freezing rain before a switch to all light rain by late Thursday into Thursday night. The rainy weather then takes us into Friday when some rumbles of thunder try to join the party.

The next storm is deeper and stronger as it wraps up across the Mississippi Valley and rolls into the Great Lakes. That means heavy rain and high winds Friday night into Saturday. Gusts of 40-50mph will be possible and a few of the thunderstorms may even be strong…

The models are bringing the cold back quicker by Monday and Tuesday. They are trying to make the third system more of a snow maker during this time.

Here’s the GFS…

The European is a little weaker but has a similar idea…

The pattern then becomes favorable for a southern tracking storm by the end of next week into the following weekend. It’s a pretty good signal from this far out…

Moral of the story: This wet and windy break from winter this weekend is just a small one that only lasts a few days.

I will have updates later today so check back. Make it a good one and take care.

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