Daily Archives: December 6, 2018

Time posted: 7:30 pm

Winter Storm Threat South and Southeast

Good Evening, folks. As we get closer to the weekend, our winter storm system starts to come into a little better focus. I’m going to go ahead and switch to a Winter Storm THREAT for areas of southern and southeastern Kentucky.

A THREAT means there is the increased potential for significant snow (4″+) or ice accumulations. If I become more confident in this outcome, we will shift to ALERT mode. If confidence goes the other way, we similar track whatever is leftover.

Here’s a look at the greatest threat area…

The area in red is the prime area to be impacted by snow and freezing rain. I’m going to be honest… I’m still nervous this thing will wind up being a bit farther north. Maybe that’s because of past events, but it’s something I’m wrestlin’ with.

Keep in mind, those risk area lines can creep farther north or sink toward the south. This is still not set in stone. (Dink! ;))

The WPC is highlighting a similar area for  the potential of 4″+ snows…

 

The latest run of the NAM shows a healthy swath of freezing rain and snow across southern and southeastern Kentucky. This only goes through Sunday evening…

Here’s the snow map from that run…

The freezing rain forecast from that same run…

The new version of the GFS continues to be the most widespread with the snow potential…

The European model is a little farther north and west than earlier runs, and is still putting down a lot of wet snow in the southeast. Check out the amazing snow gradient on this run…

The regular version of the GFS is similar, but appears to still be having some temperature issues…

I will have an updated map for you on WKYT-TV at 11 and then here on the blog later tonight.

By the way… The next forecasting headache is lurking in the week ahead…

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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