Daily Archives: December 11, 2018

Time posted: 12:31 pm

Tuesday Afternoon Thoughts

Good afternoon, gang. Your friendly weatherdude is on the road today, but is still finding the time to drop by for a quick update. It’s calm and quiet for another day or so, then a big storm system moves our way for the end of the week into the start of the weekend.

That system shows up differently on the all the models because we are dealing with a big upper level low. That system will fire up a lot of wind and rain for our region, with the chance for some wraparound flakes on Saturday. The flake thing isn’t a big possibility as of now, but it’s something to watch for.

Watch how the models differ on how they handle this upper low and surface storm system.

GFS

The GFS isn’t nearly as strong with the surface low as a few of the other models. The end result is a lot of rain and zero snows anywhere…

Contrast that with a much stronger and farther north low from the Canadian…

Notice how the heaviest rains are a bit north and west, but check out the snows…

My thoughts are probably much closer to the GFS, but the chance for a stronger system like the Canadian cannot be ruled out. As I’ve said, these strong upper lows have a mind of their own.

This continues to be a milder overall pattern into next week, but that doesn’t mean we can’t get cold shots and snow chances. That said, the main change back to the colder than normal pattern shows up in the days leading up to Christmas and into Christmas week. LOOK OUT BELOW…

I will try to update this evening, but no promises. 🙂

Enjoy the rest of the day and take care.

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