Daily Archives: December 14, 2018

Time posted: 7:32 pm

Friday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. We have a very, very, very wet start to the weekend as rounds of rain continue to roll across the state. This action has been well telegraphed for a long time now, so it’s not coming as a shock to anyone.

As we look farther down the road, changes start to show up later next week with a colder and stronger looking system showing up. That gives us our next chance for some rain and some snow.

The European Model shows a fairly healthy system across the eastern half of the country from Thursday through next Saturday…

The GFS is now similar to that line of thinking…

Additional systems show up into Christmas week. The last two runs of the GFS Ensembles are seeing them…

I leave you with your Friday evening rain trackers…

Have a great rest of the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:57 pm

Local High Water Possible

Good afternoon, everyone. Rounds of showers and a few thunderstorms continue to press across the state and this action will continue into the weekend. This has the potential to put down some hefty rain totals, leading to local high water issues.

The forecast models are pretty amped up on the rain threat, but vary with where the highest totals fall. A general 1″-3″ of rain appears likely, with local 3″+ amounts possible. Check out the latest rain forecasts…

GFS

NAM

Hi Res NAM

We will have to keep an eye on some of the smaller creeks and streams through Sunday morning.

A seasonal chill moves in behind that, but temps go back above normal by the middle of next week. This is when we wait and watch for our next system to impact the region Thursday and Friday. This taps much colder air and gives us our next chance for some snow…

Another system may follow that up next weekend…

Another similar system may follow that one up on Christmas Eve or Christmas Day. Obviously, Christmas is more than a week away, but the pattern isn’t a terrible one from this far out.

Here are your radars to track today’s rain…

I will have another update this evening, so check back.

Make it a good Friday and take care.

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Time posted: 1:55 am

Rounds Of Rain Roll In

Good Friday, folks. A big upper level system is rolling into the region and it’s bringing rounds of rain and a few thunderstorms with it. This action carries us through the better part of the weekend as things turn a bit ugly, but stay fairly mild.

This continues to be part of an overall milder setup, but wintry changes continue to show up as we get into the weekend before Christmas and into Christmas week.

In the short-term, it’s all about the waves of showers and a few thunderstorms spiraling across the bluegrass state. It’s not going to rain all the time, but some hefty totals are possible through Saturday night. The Hi Res NAM continues to show pockets of 2″+ rains…

Here are your Friday radars to track the increase in showers and storms…

Lingering clouds and showers continue into, at least, part of Sunday. The day turns chillier with the NAM showing temps struggling to get to 40 in some areas…

Temps early next week are rather seasonal before returning to above normal by Wednesday. That’s ahead of another cold working into town by Thursday of next week. This system may have something it tries to pick up from the south, turning it into a bigger storm system. That’s been showing up more and more on some of the models…

ICON

The European Model has a stronger storm system Thursday and Friday…

That robust system also shows up on the Canadian and is then followed by another system digging in here next weekend…

Again, this is all kicking off a wintry pattern when many folks like to see it… around Christmas.

The last two runs of the GFS Ensembles snow average like the snow chances through Christmas week…

Updates come your way later in the day. Have a great Friday and take care.

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