Daily Archives: December 19, 2018

Time posted: 7:33 pm

A Few Evening Thoughts

Good evening, folks. We continue to track a late week storm system that’s starts to impact our weather later tonight. This continues to be on pace to deliver heavy rain, gusty winds and a period of wet snow to our region. After that, a couple of lighter systems are working our way over the rest of the Christmas holiday weekend.

My thoughts from earlier remain:

  • Rounds of heavy rain impact central and eastern Kentucky Thursday into Friday. A general 1″-3″ may fall.
  • Local high water issues are very possible, especially in the southeastern parts of the state.
  • Gusty winds may reach 35mph at times.
  • Temps drop quickly as the low goes by to our northeast. That allows for a switch to a mix of rain and snow and a period of wet snow.
  • Some light accumulations are possible across central and eastern parts of the state. That’s still not a given because any snow that falls has to fight a wet ground. But, some slushy, light accumulations are POSSIBLE in some areas.

 

Let’s get a check of the latest models on how they’re handling the wraparound snow potential…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

GFS

The Sunday into Sunday night system continues to look fairly weak, but could deliver a little bit of light rain and light snow for some. The models are still trying to figure this out. Here’s the GFS…

The new version of the GFS has a little better signature with it…

The European is a little weaker…

The European Model is just a tad farther north with the Christmas Eve and Day system…

It starts things out with a bit of a wintry mess then goes over to rain. We shall see.

Another big change will follow that up with yet another potent storm later next week. That appears to be part of a pattern change to much colder as we get ready to flip to 2019. There’s a lot of winter in store for us in January and February, with the potential for things to turn awfully harsh. This was covered in the winter forecast and, so far, things are going as planned.

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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