Daily Archives: December 28, 2018

Time posted: 7:34 pm

Friday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, everyone. We are rolling into the weekend with a colder brand of air surging in here and that’s bringing a drying trend. That doesn’t last long as another big storm system gets ready to move in here for the close of 2018. That brings a lot of ugly weather back in here.

This system is looking potent with heavy rain, strong storms and high winds… Again. This is another monster…

Rainfall of 1″-3″ will be possible, leading to the potential for flooding. A few of the storms may even be on the strong or locally severe side.

With or without storms, high winds look to become an issue again. The European Model has winds nearing 60mph…

Happy New Year! Ugh.

Much colder air comes in behind that with our next storm system developing and working our way by Thursday and Friday. The models are still correcting this thing farther west.

GFS

New version of the GFS

This active pattern looks to continue as the pattern skews colder through the first 2 weeks of January. The European Ensembles see the snow chances…

The control run is very active…

As always, we shall see.

Enjoy your evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:25 pm

Friday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, folks. My time is short, so this won’t be the longest update in the world, Heavy rain is pulling out of southeastern Kentucky as colder air blows in from the west. That colder air settles in to start the weekend, but another big rain event is on the way to end it and the year.

Track the rain out of the state…

That next system produces heavy rain, wind and maybe another rumble of thunder Sunday night through New Year’s Eve. Rainfall totals of 1″-3″ will be possible, leading to a renewed flood threat…

Cold air surges in behind that to kick off 2019, but another southern storm system will develop and could impact our weather later Wednesday or Thursday.

The GFS is seeing it better…

So does the new version…

The Canadian overwhelms it with cold and keeps it southeast…

The ICON says “let’s play ball”…

I will hook you up with another update this evening. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:56 am

Early Day Flood Threat Southeast

Good Friday, everyone. High winds and heavy rains continue into parts of the region early today. Last night’s winds¬†caused quite a bit of damage in central Kentucky as the gusts were near 60mph. The focus of the early Friday forecast is on the flood threat in the southeast.

Looking down the road, another flood threat develops Sunday night and Monday, with winter weather lurking behind that into the opening few days of 2019.

Let’s start with the flooding threat in the southeast. Waves of heavy rain are putting it down across this region, leading to the potential for flash flooding and general flooding. Here are your early day trackers…

The rain ends quickly this afternoon with mostly cloudy skies taking over. The mild temps will crash quickly from west to east and drop into the 20s by Saturday morning. Saturday is a seasonally cold with mostly cloudy skies and highs in the upper 30s and low 40s.

The next system arrives late Sunday and continues into New Year’s Eve Day. That brings gusty winds and more heavy rain…

That may bring another 1″-3″ into parts of the region, especially the central and western areas of Kentucky. That would bring another threat for flooding. Happy New Year!

Cold air crashes in behind that departing system for the first day of 2019. That’s when we focus on a third system developing to our south. This storm continues to trend farther west on the models…

New version of the GFS…

GFS

Canadian

We will have to wait and see just how far north and west that system can come, but the trend with all these storm systems is for them to show up much stronger and farther west.

I will have updates later today. Have a fantastic Friday and take care.

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