Daily Archives: January 9, 2019

Time posted: 7:38 pm

Updating The Weekend Potential

Good evening, folks. We have cold winds and a few snowflakes showing up right on cue. This is the opening act to a much bigger system moving in by late Friday and taking us through the upcoming weekend.

Before we break down the latest on the weekend, snow showers and flurries will continue to fly across parts of the region this evening into later tonight…

Wind chills are way, way down overnight into Thursday.

In terms of the weekend storm, it’s still too early for anything specific, but here’s a general idea of how this may play out…

Keep in mind those lines may be adjusted north or south over the next few days.

Let’s do a quick check of the models to see how they are looking…

The European Model has a fairly strong system and that’s the farrthest north with the storm system. Here’s the snow map from this latest run from WeatherBell…

The average of the 51 member European Ensembles (WeatherBell) is similar…

The European Model (WeatherBell) control run…

That looks similar to the new version of the GFS…

The actual GFS has much lower totals across the board with this system…

The average of the 21 members from the GFS Ensembles suggest those to be too low…

The ICON model has a similar look to the GFS, but isn’t as choppy looking…

As this pattern continues to skew strongly toward winter over the next few weeks, the ensembles are cranking out additional snow threats after this one…

GFS

Euro

I will have another update on WKYT-TV at 11 and here on KWC later tonight. Make it a good one and take care.

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