Daily Archives: January 26, 2019

Time posted: 4:39 pm

A Quick Saturday Update

Good afternoon, folks. Your friendly weatherdude only has a short time to update, but I wanted to drop by for an afternoon quickie to get you caught up on the pattern ahead. A pattern that will feature dangerously cold temps and wind chills in the week ahead.

As expected, light snow last night and this morning put down enough snow to cause some travel issues. Another system tries to do the same this evening, especially across the northern half of the state…

The arctic front is still on schedule for a Monday night arrival time in the bluegrass state. The wave of low pressure along the front shows up one run then disappears the next, then shows up… You get the idea. It’s a computer model and that happens.

The NAM lost the wave this morning then found it again a few hours later. That wave allows for a decent snowfall in central and eastern Kentucky Monday night and Tuesday…

The early day run of the European Model has the wave, but is flatter and farther south than most of the earlier runs…

Snow on the Gulf Coast? Still, the model suggests accumulating snows for much of the region, with the greatest potential in the southeast.

The Canadian Model is similar with this first system, but the thing I like about this model is the one right behind it…

The GFS is still too progressive with the arctic front and wave of low pressure, but it’s better than it was and is also picking up on that system behind it…

Bitterly cold temps come in behind all this for the middle and end of the week. Below zero lows are likely to show up…

Wind chill advisories and warnings will likely be needed from Wednesday through Friday of this week. It may feel -5 to -25 during this time…

That’s some dangerous stuff, folks.

I will try to throw you another update after the UK game. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:11 am

Pockets Of Light Snow This Weekend

Good Saturday and welcome to the weekend. We have a few rounds of light snow and flurries rolling across the bluegrass state over the next few days. A few areas may pick up light accumulations, but the focus quickly turns to the harsh weather coming for next week.

The periods of flakes today and Sunday can lay down light totals, especially in the north. This could be enough to slicken up a few roadways, so keep that in mind if you’re traveling. I will have your tracking tools in a bit.

The arctic front arriving late Monday into Tuesday continues to be on course to bring snow and bitterly cold air our way. How much snow depends on a wave of low pressure developing along the front and slowing it down. That’s a very plausible scenario, especially with a storm ahead of it forming off the east coast. The stronger that storm, the slower the front in our region, allowing for a wave to develop along it.

The NAM only goes through Monday night, but is showing this scenario…

Notice the negative tilt on the trough for Monday night…

That’s the key to this whole thing, you want that trough to be leaning back as opposed to leaning forward. If that trough is positively tilted, you only get a band of snow right behind the front.

The European Model continues to like the wave idea the NAM is showing..

The Canadian is singing a similar tune. Also, watch the system developing behind that…

The GFS is always the most progressive of all the models and it’s no different this go around…

Bitterly cold temps crash in behind this system, with the absolute brutal stuff staying just north. If we can get a flatter looking polar vortex, it would allow west-east moving snow makers to cut underneath it across our region later next week.

I will have updates later today. Until then, here are your tracking tools…

Hamburg Area from WKYT Studio
Lexington

I-75 @ Newtown Pike
Lexington

I-75 MP 127
Georgetown

I-64 at KY-801
Near Morehead

I-64 MP 97
Winchester
I-64 WB @ MP 97

Mountain Parkway near Slade

Florence

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Covington

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Louisville

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E-town

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Make it a good one and take care.

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