Daily Archives: February 4, 2019

Time posted: 7:33 pm

Monday Evening Thoughts

Good evening, folks. We continue to watch a very active weather pattern taking shape for the rest of the week. Heavy rains, strong storms, record highs, some snow and a HUGE temp drop are on the way.

A few showers are showing up this evening, especially across the east. As a cold front inches closer, it will touch off some more scattered stuff tonight…

The front moving in later tonight and early Tuesday has a monster temperature gradient along it. Spring air is ahead of it with bitter cold behind it. That front won’t make it through here, but it will allow for additional waves of showers and thunderstorms to develop along it through Thursday. This means an increased threat for local high water issues. The WPC continues to put most of the state in the risk for flooding…

The European Model is showing the highest totals across north central Kentucky…

The GFS is now farther south than earlier runs with the axis of heaviest rains…

In addition to the high water threat, the potential is there for a few strong storms on Thursday.

Not to be outdone in all this… The temperatures. Highs on Thursday may reach 70-75 in parts of central and eastern Kentucky. From there, temps crash into the 20s by Friday morning and then stay cold. Check out the massive drop…

That’s impressive and would also come with a period of light snow Thursday night.

The models are finally beginning to sense the amount of cold coming in behind this as it tries to overwhelm the pattern next week. The new version of the GFS takes on more of a wintry look with the Sunday system and the ones following it up next week…

The European Model is also showing the cold taking over…

Make it a great rest of your day and take care.

8 Comments

Time posted: 12:22 pm

Monday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. It’s another very mild day across the bluegrass state as a few showers start to crank. This is the beginning of a very active setup that will bring heavy rain through here for Wednesday and Thursday, bringing the potential for high water issues. All of that then gives way to winter weather by early Friday.

Let’s begin with today’s shower action that’s on the increase…

A few rumbles of thunder will be possible late today into tonight as a weak front slides in. That boundary slams on the brakes Tuesday, leading to a big temp spread from north to south. A shower or storm may continue to fire along the front.

Milder air surges back in on Wednesday as waves of showers and storms crank. This action carries us through Thursday as temps soar to near record levels. As the front approaches from the west, strong thunderstorms will be possible on Thursday. Heavy rains may cause high water issues during this time. The GFS and Canadian Models differ on where the axis of heaviest rains set up…

GFS

Canadian

The WPC is highlighting much of the region for the potential of excessive rains Wednesday into Wednesday night…

Temps crash behind the front Thursday night and early Friday, leading to a period of light snow…

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4pm. Another update comes your way this evening. Make it a good one and take care.

6 Comments

Time posted: 1:59 am

Another Crazy Weather Week

Good Monday, folks. It’s another week featuring a walk that throws more crazy our way. Instead of brutally cold temps and snow like last week, this week is throwing everything but the kitchen sink. Heavy rain, strong storms, near record highs, snow and a big temp crash are all on the way.

The week begins rather tame today with temps in the 60s, with the potential for a few showers rolling through here…

A few rumbles of thunder are possible this afternoon through tonight. Additional scattered stuff is likely on Tuesday as temps run on the mild side.

The main action moves in Wednesday and Thursday as rounds of showers and thunderstorms target the region. The setup is there for several inches of rain to fall during this time, potentially leading to flooding issues. In addition to possible flooding, strong storms will also be possible during this time. As cold air crashes in from behind, some snow may kick in for a time Thursday night and early Friday…

GFS

New GFS

The GFS is putting down a ton of rain for many areas…

The Canadian has a similar swath, but is farther south…

That would be more than enough to cause flooding issues and we really need to stay alert to this possibility as we roll forward.

After a cold and dry break on Saturday, another system rolls back in here by Sunday and Monday…

Let’s add those numbers to the rainfall totals…

Canadian

We need the cold to hurry up and completely overpower this setup or we could find ourselves in trouble. Luckily, the European Ensembles are showing that in about a week…

I will hook you up with updates later today. Until then, make it a great Monday and take care.

14 Comments