Daily Archives: February 9, 2019

Time posted: 3:23 pm

Wintry Mix Before Another Flood Threat

Good afternoon, everyone. We have a high impact storm system moving our way over the next three days. This will bring a wintry mix, creating a few hours of travel issues on Sunday, Then, the flood threat kicks back in from Sunday night through Tuesday as heavy rain returns.

A Winter Weather Advisory (in blue) is out for parts of the region for Sunday, but this should include more counties. Anytime freezing rain is possible, a glaze is all it takes to cause big issues…

You can see this mix of rain, freezing rain and snow working in early Sunday with rain taking over in the afternoon…

The Hi Res NAM freezing rain forecast

NAM freezing rain forecast

GFS freezing rain forecast

Areas of northern Kentucky have the best chance at seeing a small accumulation of snow…

The main threat comes from flooding. A general 1″-3″ of rain will fall from Sunday through Tuesday, with some 4″ amounts possible. Flood Watches are already going up…

Given the fact we are waterlogged and our creeks, streams and rivers are already full, it won’t take much rain to cause flooding issues. Unfortunately, we have a lot of rain on the way. Check out some of the model forecasts through Tuesday…

Euro

NAM

New GFS

GFS

Canadian

If you have interests along waterways, especially rivers, please be mindful that flooding will likely develop over the next few days.

I’m at the Kentucky Sport, Boat and Recreation show at Rupp Arena this evening, so I won’t be able to update again. Come on down and say hi.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

16 Comments

Time posted: 1:49 am

Another Heavy Rain Event Ahead

Good Saturday, everyone. We have another dry day across the bluegrass state and you should soak it up because another big rain event is on the way. This begins later Sunday and rolls through the first half of the week, with another lurking by the end of the week.

As the first system moves in here on Sunday, a period of frozen precipitation is possible at the beginning. The NAM is showing a period of freezing rain and some snow to start…

Freezing Rain

Snow

The next system brings very heavy rain to the region from Sunday night through Tuesday. This looks like a general 1″-3″ of rain during this time…

GFS

Euro

Given the full creeks, streams and rivers, and a saturated ground, that would be enough to cause flooding and river flooding.

To illustrate how active this pattern is, watch the parade of systems showing up…

GFS

Canadian

The pattern only allows for the cold to intrude so far into our region, as the mild air off the southeast coast fights back. That cold is going to wind this battle, but exactly when remains to be seen. The GFS Ensembles continue to grow more bullish on the cold and that shows up in the 2 week snow map…

I will have another update later today. Until then, make it a good one and take care.

36 Comments