Daily Archives: February 12, 2019

Time posted: 8:00 pm

Cold Winds Blowing

Good evening, folks. I don’t have a lot of time, but I wanted to drop by for a quick update on the colder pattern settling in. This is a pattern bringing some flakes to the region tonight, with winter weather chances increasing by the weekend and into next week.

Our cold front is FINALLY through the state, taking the heavy rain to our east. Northwest winds are still howling and can hit 40mph at times. That same northwest wind may also throw a few snow showers of flurries our way. Here’s regional radar to track the action…

Wind chills tonight will be in the teens as actual readings hit the 20s. Wednesday looks good with upper 30s to middle 40s with a mix of sun and clouds.

The active pattern returns with a cold front moving in Thursday night. That has showers ahead of it, with colder air coming in behind it. That colder setup forces the storm track farther south, bringing the chance for winter weather our way. To systems can bring winter weather this weekend, with another early next week.

The first arrives later Friday and early Saturday, with the next one Saturday night and Sunday, and the third by Tuesday. The models, as expected, change from run to run on the track of each, but it’s fun to watch…

New GFS

GFS

The European Model has a swath of accumulating snow possible across the northern half of the state with the weekend systems…

Again, don’t take the numbers or track to heart because I assure you it will change over the next few days. I’m only showing this to illustrate how the storm track is focusing farther south, bringing snow chances back our way.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:25 pm

Tuesday Afternoon Update

Good afternoon, everyone. One more round of moderate to heavy rain works across the state this afternoon, then we get a small break in the action. Once that small break is over, the pattern turns very active once again, but with a twist. The overall setup continues to trend colder, leading to more winter weather threats.

This afternoon’s heavy rain may cause a few issues as it rolls eastward. Winds will gust up as temps crash, leading to a few snow showers or flurries this evening through early Wednesday. Those gusts may top 40mph at time through this evening.

The next system arrives Thursday night in the form of a cold front. That front will then usher in colder air, allowing two systems right behind it to take more of a southern track. The GFS has the first arriving Friday night into Saturday, with the second moving in Sunday and Monday…

The new version of the GFS is similar…

Both bring a swath of accumulating snow across the state, but the exact track of those two systems will, as always, be the determining factor in where that sets up.

Another, potentially bigger, system shows up right behind those for early next week…

GFS

New GFS

You can see this farther south track on the snow map from the GFS through next week…

The average of the 21 member GFS Ensembles is farther south…

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4 and with another KWC update later this evening. Until then, let’s track the final rounds of rain and some snow…

Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:59 am

Flood Threat Continues Today

Good Tuesday, everybody. Rounds of heavy rain and some thunder are rolling across the state today, leading to one more day of flooding issues. This active pattern looks to continue for the foreseeable future, with much colder air joining the party once again.

Today is very active, so here’s a breakdown of how it plays out:

  • Heavy rain continues as a few thunderstorms try to get into the mix.
  • Flooding issues will likely develop in some areas. This consists of flooding of smaller creeks and streams and a few of the rivers.
  • The rain slows down from west to east this afternoon as a cold front slides through.
  • Winds are going to crank and may reach 40mph at times through tonight. That’s when a colder wind settles in, dropping temps into the 20s.
  • A few wraparound snow showers and flurries may be noted across central and eastern Kentucky this evening into very early Wednesday.

I will have all your tracking toys of the day in just a bit.

Another cold front rolls our way later this week, setting the stage for a farther south storm track to follow. The models are bringing a winter weather threat to the region Friday into Saturday.

GFS

New GFS

The European Model is also picking up on the potential…

That active southern storm track rolls on through next week…

The GFS Ensembles have been showing this scenario for a while now and they continue to do so…

Once again, we shall see.

I will have updates later today. Until then, here is everything you need to track today’s flood threat…

Enjoy the day and take care.

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