Daily Archives: February 14, 2019

Time posted: 7:42 pm

Winter Weather Advisory Late Friday

Good evening, everyone. We have a quick hitting winter weather maker rolling our way late Friday into Friday night. This will have a swatch of accumulating snow with it and may also have an area of freezing rain.

For that reason, a Winter Weather Advisory is already out for much of Kentucky…

This should extend through eastern Kentucky and into West Virginia, but… you know how the local NWS offices roll.

Here’s my latest call for snowfall…

The WPC is highlighting an area along Interstate 64 for the potential of 4″ or more snows…

The European Model shows this potential for areas just south of the 64…

The same model run is also showing a freezing rain threat across the west and south…

The latest NAM  is similar with the snow, but is more amped up with the freezing rain…

Snow

Freezing Rain

The NEW GFS has a similar swath of snow…

And shows the freezing rain potential…

 

All of this comes in behind a cold front dropping into the state tonight. That’s touching off a band of showers, which you can see on our regional radar…

Make it a good one and take care.

12 Comments

Time posted: 12:10 pm

First Call For Friday Night Snowfall

Good afternoon and Happy Valentine’s Day. Windy and mild temps will soon give way to a blast of winter weather to start the upcoming weekend. That comes in the form of a fast-moving snow maker for much of the bluegrass state.

Watch how fast this system works through here from late Friday into Saturday morning…

Rain initially develops during the afternoon then goes over to a mix then wet snow. Some light freezing rain and sleet may even show up in the transition.

From there, a swath of wet, accumulating snow shows up from west to east across the state. Here’s the often imitated First Call For Snowfall…

That looks to be a pretty steady map going forward, but there is a little wiggle room with the 1″-4″ swath. I suspect that may be nudged a little farther south in time. Outside of that corridor, it’s a sharp drop to little or no snow.

The new GFS is in pretty good agreement with my map…

The new version of the GFS is ready to take over as the main GFS and has a similar swath, but ups the totals…

While I can’t rule that out at the moment, I’ll go ahead and take the under.

I will have a new call for snowfall on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm then back here on KWC this evening. Happy Valentine’s Day and take care.

40 Comments

Time posted: 2:06 am

A Swath of Snow Possible Friday Night

Good Thursday and Happy Valentine’s Day. It’s a very mild and windy day across the Commonwealth, but things look to change in a hurry later Friday. That’s when a rain and snow maker rolls across the region, putting down a swath of light accumulating snow.

Before we get to all that, let’s talk about the big holiday full of hearts. Temps will range from 55-60 in most areas as winds really crank. Gusts of 40mph will be possible from time to time as a cold front rolls in here tonight and early Friday. A few showers will be noted along and ahead of this boundary.

That front slows down across the Tennessee Valley with low pressure rolling to the east along it for late Friday into early Saturday. That system will throw rain and snow across our region, with an increasing threat for accumulating snow.

You can see this system on the GFS…

Yesterday, I made a map outlining the area with the best chance of seeing snow on the ground…

The models have come into pretty good general agreement with the map, but with some slight deviations.

As we get closer to this event, the models are getting a little stronger and snowier. The GFS has some 4″+ snows showing up in a west to east swath…

The new version of the GFS has something similar…

Euro

The Canadian is just now picking up on this system and has it more across the north…

I will have updates later today, including a First Call For Snowfall. Until then, make it a good one and take care.

18 Comments