Daily Archives: February 17, 2019

Time posted: 7:21 pm

Sunday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. Heavy rain continues to cause local high water issues across the southeast, and this is a sign of things to come. Rounds of heavy rain will target the region for the week ahead, leading to an increased flood potential for the entire region.

Parts of the southeast have picked up well over and inch of rain on the day, with more coming through this evening. That may keep the local flooding issues going…

Colder winds blow in tonight and Monday and should bring a few snow showers and flurries. Temps will generally stay in the 30s for many areas.

The next system is much stronger with heavy rainfall likely. This may still start out as a wintry mix late Tuesday, before the heavy rain takes over. Here’s how the NAM sees it…

This is the first of two big systems ready to impact the weather through next weekend. The second one will also bring heavy rain with it…

The rainfall numbers from these two systems are alarming…

That fits into the region I’ve been highlighting for the greatest potential for flooding…

Significant flooding issues may very well develop over the next week, including along some of our rivers. Please stay alert to the forecast in the coming week.

I’ll see you for an update later tonight. Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:19 am

The Hits Keep Coming

Good Sunday, everyone. We have another system rolling across the state today, bringing a brief mix before rain takes over. This is the first in a series of systems on the way for the next week or so, bringing a renewed high water threat to the region.

Our Sunday starts with a touch of frozen precipitation for parts of central and eastern Kentucky. I can’t rule out a little bit of a glaze early on, so keep that in mind if travelling early. Showers quickly take over, with a rumble of thunder possible…

It’s not going to be a washout kind of a day by any means, but the rain may be steadier in the east and southeast. A healthy temp spread will show up from northwest to southeast and the colder air to the north moves in for Monday. That may mean a light snow shower or flurries.

The next system will roll in here later Tuesday and will have a lot of moisture with it. With cold air initially in place, can we get this to start out as snow or a mix? The NAM certainly thinks so as it develops a healthy snow band before the heavy rain kicks in…

The new version of the GFS has a similar idea, but to a lesser extent…

The soon to be defunct GFS has a touch of freezing rain on the leading edge…

From there, at least two more systems will follow a similar path later in the week through next weekend. This sets the stage for a lot of rain to fall from our region into the south. This could cause flooding issues to develop from Kentucky into areas of the Tennessee Valley and deep south…

I won’t be able to hook you up with an update until this evening, so be patient with a weatherdude. 🙂

Have a great Sunday and take care.

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