Daily Archives: February 18, 2019

Time posted: 7:32 pm

Monday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. I wanted to drop by for a quick update on this crazy active weather pattern that’s set to throw a little of everything our way in the coming days.

In the short-term, a few flurries and snow showers continue to push across the area, especially in the north and northeast…

That action goes away tonight as we set our sights on a much bigger system moving in late Tuesday through Wednesday night. This likely brings another 1″-3″ of rain to the region. A Flood Watch is already out for just about the entire state…

General flooding and river flooding are possible from this system.

The whole setup is likely to start with a period of snow and wintry mix Tuesday evening into the wee hours of Wednesday morning. Some light accumulations are possible, leading to travel issues. The NAM FAM continues to offer the snowiest look…

NAM

Hi Res NAM

Those are likely overdone, but stranger things have happened.

The next system moves in later Friday into the weekend and keeps the flood threat going. There’s even the potential for strong to severe storms. The wind gust forecast from the Euro actually shows where it thinks some big thunderstorms will be moving…

We have GOT to change this pattern up and it looks like that happens in the closing days of the month. Check out the deep trough moving in here as a major block develops near Alaska…

#teamspring

Make it a good evening and take care.

10 Comments

Time posted: 12:30 pm

A Lot To Talk About

Good afternoon, everyone. A few flurries and snow showers continue to work across the state as cold winds blow from the northwest. This is kicking off another very active weather week, complete with snow, flooding rains and the potential for severe storms by the weekend.

Let’s begin with the Monday taste of winter. These hit and run snow showers can put down brief coatings in a few spots…

From there, it’s full steam ahead toward an impressive system moving in later Tuesday and Wednesday. This one may start as snow and a mix, but the main threat comes from the potential for too much rain. Here’s my current area of concern…

That matches up well with the placement from the GFS…

The NAM is farther west and northwest with the axis of heaviest rain…

General flooding and river flooding will be possible in the coming days.

As mentioned, this system may start out as some snow or a mix later Tuesday into Tuesday evening. The NAM Fam continues to be the most aggressive with the winter weather potential.

Hi Res Snowfall

Hi Res Freezing Rain

NAM Snowfall

NAM Freezing Rain

The GFS isn’t spitting out much freezing rain, but it is now showing a touch of snow…

So is the new version of the GFS…

As I mentioned earlier, this is likely to be a situation where we have a Winter Weather Advisory and a Flood Watch out at the same time for some areas.

I’m also focusing on the weekend setup that has the potential to produce more flooding rains and even some severe thunderstorms…

That has a severe weather look for much of this region.

Busy enough for ya? 🙂

I will have the latest on WKYT starting at 4pm and then have another KWC update this evening. Make it a good one and take care.

18 Comments

Time posted: 2:02 am

Heavy Rain To Bring More Flooding Issues

Good Monday, folks. We have much colder weather pressing into the region today, bringing a few snowflakes along for the ride. This is not how our weather will roll for the rest of the week as rounds of heavy rain bring the potential for more flooding issues.

Let’s begin with the potential for a few snow showers or flurries today. This won’t be terribly widespread, but some flakes may be flying from time to time…

The next system is going to blow in here later Tuesday and carry us through Wednesday. This is another massive rain maker for the region and that’s likely to cause some flooding issues. Here’s a look at the areas most at risk for flooding during this time…

Another 1″-3″ of rain should fall in many areas, leading to the potential for general flooding and river flooding.

The beginning of this whole system is likely to include some winter weather. With cold air in place, the leading edge of the precipitation shield could be in the form of snow, freezing rain, sleet or a combo of the three. The NAM continues to be most aggressive with this…

It’s very possible to have a Winter Weather Advisory and Flood Watch out at the same time for some of the same counties.

Another heavy rain maker follows that up by the upcoming weekend. That may also bring enough rain to cause high water issues.

I will hook you up with more updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.

11 Comments