Daily Archives: February 21, 2019

Time posted: 7:35 pm

Thursday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. We continue to track a big storm system rolling toward Kentucky over the next few days. This will bring the potential for flooding, flash flooding and severe thunderstorms. Buckle up because this is gonna be a wild ride.

As expected, a Flash Flood Watch is now out for much of the region through Saturday night…

Flood Warnings continue for many of the rivers across the state…

My rainfall forecast has not changed with a general 1″-4″ showing up across the state…

The new European Model agrees with my area of heaviest rain potential…

This would be enough to cause significant flooding and flash flooding issues.

The severe weather aspect of this system is also going to show up later Saturday into Saturday evening. Damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes will be possible. Here’s the current outlook from the SPC…

In addition to severe storms, high winds will be a be a big factor and could reach 50-60mph at times. With a wet ground, trees may be uprooted.

We need a colder pattern to take home and that looks to happen later next week and into early March…

In the meantime, let’s track the heavy rain impacting areas of southern Kentucky…

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:19 pm

Flooding and Severe Storms Threat

Good afternoon, gang. That strange thing showing up in the sky today is called the sun. It’s a rather elusive phenomenon, so enjoy it while you can because more rain and severe storms are on the way.

For the past week, I’ve been setting the stage for a possible severe weather event for the weekend. That setup continues to look fairly explosive and should result in severe thunderstorms, high winds and flooding rains.

The Storm Prediction Center has much of Kentucky in the Slight to Moderate risk for severe storms on Saturday…

Damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes will be possible. The prime time for severe weather is during the afternoon and evening hours.

Before all this, rain and some rumbles of thunder develop tonight across our region. This will carry us into Friday and is likely to produce additional flooding issues across the southern half of the state. Check out the rainfall numbers tonight into the daylight hours on Friday…

GFS

NAM

Given the amount of rain and ongoing flooding issues this area is seeing, Flood Watches should already be going up in these areas…

Here are all the current Flood Warnings…

Additional heavy rain then develops Friday night through Saturday night, deliver an increased flood threat to most of the state. My rain forecast through Sunday morning…

I will have an update on WKYT at 4pm then have another KWC update this evening. Until then, here’s regional radar to keep you company…

Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:56 am

Weekend Flood and Severe Storms Threat

Good Thursday, folks. We are enjoying a rare mainly dry day across the Commonwealth, but that’s going to change quickly as more rain rolls in. It’s all coming from a potent storm system that will bring more flooding rains our way and may even spawn a few strong to severe storms this weekend.

Skies will feature a mix of sun and clouds today with temps in the 40s north and 50s south. Clouds will thicken this afternoon as a band of rain gets ready to return this evening. That’s mainly impacting the southern half of the state into early Friday. This may put down a half to one inch of rain in a few spots, causing additional high water concerns.

As our plains storm system cranks up late Friday into Saturday, mild winds will surge into the region from the south. This will cause widespread rain and thunderstorms to develop Friday night and early Saturday. As the front moves through Saturday evening, strong to severe storms are even possible.

Obviously, the flood threat is very high with this system. Here’s an early look at how much rain may fall through Sunday morning…

That would be more than enough to cause flooding, with the potential for significant flood issues to develop.

I mentioned the potential for severe storms to develop and that’s a real possibility later Saturday. Here’s the current Saturday Severe Weather Outlook…

The Euro is showing high wind streaks that appear to be coming from severe storms…

Much colder air takes control of the pattern next week. The pattern is favorable for a winter weather event in the first week of March and that continues to show up on some of the models…

Arctic air comes in behind that…

I will have updates later today, so check back. Until then, here are your tracking tools…

Make it a great day and take care.

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