Daily Archives: February 27, 2019

Time posted: 7:36 pm

Wednesday Evening Update

Good evening, folks. We are rolling our way toward a much colder pattern as we close the door on February and open the door on March. This colder setup is likely to throw a winter weather maker at us later this weekend, but the exact impacts are not yet known. It’s still early, my friends.

Before we get to that system, a big temperature drop is underway tonight into Thursday. This will be accompanied by a weak system bringing rain and the potential for a mix our way later Thursday into Thursday night. The best chance for a mix is across the north…

The period from Saturday night through Sunday night continues to have a very interesting look to it. Low pressure is likely to work across the Tennessee Valley, bringing a swath of winter weather and snow to the north of it. The exact track of the low is, as always, the determining factor on what kind of weather you get outside your house.

The GFS continues to show a pretty big hit…

So does the new version of the GFS…

As does the ICON…

The European Model is farther south than the last run, but still has more rain than any of the other models…

Regardless of how much snow, if any, we get, the air coming in behind this is absolutely frigid for next week and may throw another winter weather threat at us.

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 12:22 pm

Weekend Winter Weather Possible

Good afternoon, everyone. It’s all eyes on the increasing potential or a winter weather system to impact our region for the weekend. This is a system that will roll our way from Saturday night through Sunday night and has the potential to put down accumulating snow for some of us.

I mentioned earlier that we should see the models converging soon on a track and the morning runs did just that. Of course, I expect them to deviate a few times over the next few days, but the general theme of the forecast should remain intact.

The GFS went from having no storm to having the biggest winter weather hit of the bunch…

The new version of the GFS is similar…

The Canadian took the rain train to work last night, but got a different ride home…

The ICON is also targeting the region with a healthy swath of snow…

The air coming in behind this system is absolutely frigid and is of arctic origin. If we can put snow on the ground, look out!! Check out the actual low temps early next week…

Wind chill numbers from the same time…

I will have the latest on WKYT-TV starting at 4pm and here on KWC later this evening. Have a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 2:14 am

Watching The Weekend Potential

Good Wednesday, everyone. While we are enjoying another awesome weather day, a colder pattern is lurking as we get ready to flip from February into March. This colder pattern is going to try to begin with a storm system rolling through here over the weekend.

As always, let’s begin with today and roll forward. Highs today will be in the 60s with a mix of sun and clouds. #teamspring is loving life!

A weak system rolls across the region on Thursday as temps come back down. That’s mainly a light shower maker, but this isn’t going to be a big system by any means. Some of us may not see much of anything coming from the skies.

We have a cold front working in here by late Friday into early Saturday. How far south that front gets will be the determining factor to what happens with the storm system coming behind it for Sunday. The track of that low will dictate what kind of weather you get outside your house.

Your three options:

  • The cold is so impressive that it pushes the track too far south to bring much of anything to Kentucky.
  • The cold is less impressive so we get a storm track right on top of the state, bringing more of a rain threat than anything else.
  • The cold is just right and allows for a storm track across the Tennessee Valley, bringing a swath of accumulating snow to the state.

As the President of #teamspring, none of those options sound particularly appealing.

The European Model and Canadian Models had been most consistent with showing a winter weather maker, but both took the rain train to work last night…

Euro

Canadian

The GFS still doesn’t really know what the heck to do…

The new GFS went the winter weather and snow route…

The Icon is similar…

The models should shake out and come into better agreement over the next 24 hours. Regardless of how this system pans out, next week is frigid… Frigid I say!

I will have updates later today, so y ‘all come back now, ya hear?

Have a good one and take care.

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