Daily Archives: March 1, 2019

Time posted: 8:05 pm

Friday Evening Update

Good evening, everyone. It’s all eyes on a developing winter storm taking aim at the region late Saturday night through Sunday night as our Winter Storm THREAT continues.

The Weather Prediction Center has a moderate risk for 4″+ snows across the northern half of Kentucky with a slight risk farther south. Here’s the WPC breakdown of the percentages of seeing that happen…

That matches up pretty well with the threat map I’ve had out since Thursday evening…

The European Ensembles like this same area…

The Control run does too…

I’ll have a full update later tonight, including a First Call For Snowfall map. #teamspring ain’t happy about that!

Enjoy the evening and take care.

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Time posted: 1:55 pm

Winter Storm THREAT This Weekend

Good afternoon, everyone. Confidence continues to increase that a developing winter storm will impact the state later this weekend. Because this storm has the potential to bring some 4″+ snows with it, it’s time to go with a Winter Storm THREAT from Saturday night through Sunday night.

This is a quick update, but my main area of focus for the THREAT hasn’t changed…

The European Model  and Canadian Mode match up well with this

The above map is from the new version of the GFS and is likely overdone. The GFS may be a little underdone…

I’m out at an event so this is as much as I can do via my phone.

I’m will have a First Call Map out later this evening. Until then, let’s track some showers across parts of southeastern Kentucky…

Make it a good one and take care.

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Time posted: 1:55 am

Weekend Winter Storm Potential

Good Friday, folks. A developing winter storm will target the state late this weekend and will kick off an incredibly cold period for early March. This is a big system that will impact areas from the plains states all the way into New England.

Before we get into our winter storm, let’s focus on this first day of March. Clouds will be stubborn with temps on the chilly side. Many areas range from the upper 30s to low 40s. Another wave of low pressure will bring a few more showers to the southeast…

The overnight trend on the computer models is for our storm to take a farther south track. That would mean a better snow hit for the bluegrass state. Given that, the latest risk map takes everything farther south…

Is that far enough south or will I need to keep going with it?  It will be interesting to see how today’s models play out.

Here’s a look at the latest model mania…

GFS

New version of the GFS

Canadian

ICON

The European Model had been the farthest north of the bunch, but it keeps coming farther south with each run…

Frigid temps will follow this system and there’s the chance for single digit lows early next week. That could be followed by another winter weather system moving in here by Thursday and Friday.

I will have updates later today. Make it a good one and take care.

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