Daily Archives: March 22, 2019

Time posted: 1:44 am

A Nice Looking First Weekend Of Spring

Good Friday, everyone. Our hail producing showers appeared right on schedule yesterday as colder air pressed into the state. This seasonal brand of chill hangs tough to start the weekend, before temps start to climb. All of this continues to be part of a very up and down pattern as we go through the end of March.

Today will find a mix of sun and clouds as another weak system works in from the north and northeast. This will bring some rain and snow showers across areas of Ohio and West Virginia, but should largely avoid Kentucky. I can’t rule out one or two of those sneaking into the far east at some point…

Highs today reach the upper 40s to low 50s in many areas, with middle 50s in the west. Winds will continue to add a chill to the air.

Lows by Saturday morning drop deep into the 20s, but the day looks really nice with afternoon temps reaching the 50s. 60 is possible in the west and south.

Clouds increase on Sunday as thermometers head toward the 60-65 degree range. A few showers develop in the west and overspread the region through Monday…

The air behind that is a little colder than normal, but readings should bounce back very quickly by the middle of the week. That’s when temps take off and make a run at 70, but that would only be temporary. Watch how another system introduces some chill back into the mix to close out March and usher in April…

As we look toward the rest of spring and into Summer, we know an El Nino is ongoing and forecast to get stronger. The CAS model is a seasonal model that’s constructed from analogs based off soil moisture. Obviously, our region is wet as is much of the country.

The CAS  has a cooler than normal and wetter than normal look from April through June…

If we go from June through August, we find more of the same…

I can certainly buy the wet part, but I’m not sold on the really cool part. Like last year, with so much water in the ground, nighttime lows will likely be skewed milder than normal. That skews the overall temps, too.

Make it a great Friday and take care.

4 Comments