Daily Archives: July 11, 2019

Time posted: 2:05 am

Tracking Storms and The Tropics

Good Thursday, everyone. We have a cold front marching across Kentucky, bringing some strong storms and cooler air with it. At the same time, the Gulf of Mexico is becoming active as Barry churns toward the Louisiana coast before the week is over. There continues to be a better than even chance this system impacts our weather by early next week.

Before we get to Barry, let’s talk about the storms rumbling across the state today. Some of these may be strong or severe, with high winds and hail as a possibility. Here’s the current Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

In addition to the severe threat, locally heavy rains may cause flash flooding issues to develop.

Once the front moves through, Friday looks like a really nice day as temps and humidity levels come way down. I still can’t rule out a few storms across the far south and southeast. This nice stuff carries us into early Saturday, but the numbers start to inch up once again and a stray storm chance shows up. Storm chances may really increase on Sunday as we get some offshoot moisture from the Gulf system.

Ok, let’s talk about the tropics. Here’s the current Sat shot of the developing system…

Barry is likely to become a hurricane before coming ashore along the Louisiana Gulf Coast. Here’s the latest information and track forecast from the NHC…

cone graphic

As far as some of the computer models go. The various hurricane models continue to edge a little east and show the potential for this system to impact our region…

Here are the latest tracks from the GFS Ensembles…

I made this map a few days ago and I’m still rolling with it…

The best chance for some tropical rains would be from Monday through Wednesday of next week.

Let’s get back to the weather out there today. Here are your storm tracking toys…

Current watches
Current Watches

Possible Watch Areas

Current MDs

Have a great day and take care.

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