Daily Archives: July 15, 2019

Time posted: 2:04 am

Tropical Moisture Moves In

Good Monday, folks. The remnants of Hurricane Barry continue to slowly move into the region, bringing tropical rain producing showers and storms. This action will increase over the next few days as we continue to watch for local high water issues to develop. A few strong or severe storms are also possible.

The extended forecast looks fun and I will get to that in a bit.

First, we start with what’s going on out there today. Tropical humidity will fire up scattered showers and storms across the eastern half of the state. The western half of the state will see the greatest concentration of showers and storms as what’s left of Barry starts to have an impact. A few of the storms may be strong or severe. Here’s the Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center…

The west will see the heaviest rain potential today, but any storm that goes up can put down torrential rains.

Here are your tracking tools to start the week…

The rain from Barry then slowly slides east across the state Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing the potential for more showers and storms. Heavy rainfall continues to be a good bet, but it’s not raining all the time. Once again, local flash flooding issues may develop.

A big heat ridge is going to build in from the plains into the Great Lakes later this week into the weekend. Some clusters of thunderstorms may dive in here ahead of this at some point and that’s something to watch for. A few days of heat are a good bet, but the hottest air appears to bypass us to the north.

If you recall, the medium range models and seasonal models were all advertising some cooler shots diving into the eastern half of the country for the middle of this month. Obviously, Barry changed the pattern, but should we give up on those cooler shots? Once Barry completely gets out of the way, the original signal for cooler temps comes back…

GFS

GFS Ensembles

Delayed but not denied? We shall see.

Have a great Monday and take care.

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